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Andre Poutama lets Zealand Star loose at the Pukekohe workouts.

Zealand Star could be the tote-toppler for a memorable New Year’s Eve

At first glance Zealand Star would seem to have little chance in the fifth race at Alexandra Park on Monday.

But while his 84848 formline looks the worst in the race, and he starts from a second row draw against some very progressive opposition, he’s a much better prospect than his big odds will suggest.

Zealand Star has not paced a bad race since owner Merv Butterworth sent him north to Lincoln Farms from Lauren Pearson’s Winton stable.

  • First-up he became buried on the markers and went to the line hard held with nowhere to go, only 3.7 lengths from the winner Solid Gold.
  • At his next start on December 14 he ran fourth, pacing a sizzling 2:40.1 behind Ideal Star.
  • And last time he finished eighth over a mile, just 5.2 lengths from winner Bounty Lady, a herculean performance after breaking as the gate left and settling 60 metres from the leaders.

Zealand Star clocked by far the fastest last 800 metres in that race, 55.6, with a red hot 27.6 third quarter.

On Monday the inside second row draw could actually be a godsend for this true-blue sit-sprinter as he follows out gate flier American Empress.

Three starts back, from the same ace draw, Sailesh Abernethy gunned American Empress out to lead a strong field in the Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

A repeat of those tactics could see Zealand Star land a dream trail and allow him to use his good turn of foot up the passing lane.

Trainer Ray Green reports Zealand Star has trained stylishly this week, a likely result of his hocks being injected.

“His hocks had been worrying him and he trained very well this morning and is looking very good.

“It’s all about draws and trips - not many can get a bad trip and excel - and while there are some nice types against him, if he could get a trail he’d be a chance.’’

Zachary Butcher takes the reins on Monday from junior driver Andrew Drake.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
4.52pm

“She did a good job last week at Auckland. Throwing her in the deep end seems to have toughened her up a bit. She’s getting stronger all the time. This is a big drop in class and she’s a chance from a better gate (three).”

Race 2: Prince Lincoln
5.20pm

“If the real Prince turned up he’d absolutely be hard to beat. If he leads, as he should do from two, he’s a different horse.”

Race 3: Major Copy
5.54pm

“Maurice just nursed him around on debut. He was stepping over tyre marks on the track so he didn’t want to launch him into the open too soon. We’ll put a shadow roll on him this time to stop that and I can see him going a lot better from the inside draw.”

Race 3: Jessie Lincoln
5.54pm

“I’m not saying she can’t win but it will be hard for Fergie to find a good trip from the draw. She’ll need a lot of luck but she can be right in it if things go her way as she’s training well.”

Race 5: Lincoln Dealer
6.49pm

“He’s been a slow developing horse and you can’t drive him pretty, he won’t let you, as he’s a bit of a hot head. Maurice will launch him and see where he ends up.”

Race 5: Spirit Of God
6.49pm

“She got tired late last time and started hanging a bit (hitting a marker) but I thought she went OK. She did a bit early (from a wide draw) and was still there at the finish so she’s going to win a race. You never know with second line draws but it’s usually a decent impairment.”

Race 7: Lincoln Maree
7.40pm

“She never runs a bad race. She has a big motor for a little filly and should be right in the fray.”

Race 7: Angelic Copy
7.40pm

“Maurice said she foundered a bit when they took off, and got three or four lengths behind, but she didn’t lose any more ground after that and held her place. So the run wasn’t as bad as it looked and she’ll be improved.”

Race 8: Lincoln Wave
8.14pm

“It was a non-event last time (from a stand) and he’s a good horse who will be vying for the lead from five and deserves to be favourite.”

Race 8: Sugar Ray Lincoln
8.14pm

“Peter (Ferguson) said he didn’t feel as sharp last week as in the past so I’ve given him a little freshen-up with a light week and he should go better.”

Whales Harness