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Tommy Lincoln (Zachary Butcher) staves off a flashing late run by Ferritt’s Sister at Auckland on Friday night. PHOTO: Race Images.
Will Tommy Lincoln be lost to Oz like so many before him, crucified in the ratings?
You’d think everyone would be celebrating Tommy Lincoln winning three races on end.
There were certainly plenty of hugs and high fives shared by all the partners who race the horse with Lincoln Farms owners John and Lynne Street after the two-year-old upset again at Auckland on Friday night.
But today reality set in for trainer Ray Green with a R64 rating going up beside Tommy Lincoln’s name, kindling fears the unexpected quick success will soon see him crucified by the handicapping system.
“He’s going to be racing tough, intermediate horses now and that’s unfair as he’s just a baby and it’s not as if he’s gone out and smashed them every time.’’
Green says he’s basically forced into resting the horse now and concentrating on the Sires’ Stakes series for three-year-olds later in the year, the heats of which start in October.
Trainer Ray Green, being interviewed here by Trackside’s big fish Craig Thompson, is sending more and more pacers to Australia.“But he may not be good enough for that and then we’ll have to send him to Australia, like all the others before him, where he can be competitive.
“They don’t seem to realise what they’re doing with this system.’’
Admittedly the shortage of horses in the north is exacerbating the problem, the ATC forced into programming races with very wide rating bands.
But Green says there’s no way Tommy Lincoln should have to tackle races like the R64 to R95 event his older stablemate The Bull Pen (R66) did last Friday night.
That race was won by the 55-race veteran Check In, winner of eight races and nearly $120,000.
Under the rules, Tommy Lincoln as a two-year-old has earned five points for each win, but from August he will go up eight points for winning, getting a half points concession for every second win only if the race is worth less than $20,000.
Green would like to see a system based more on earnings, which is widely used in Europe. Even in Australia horses can drift down to easier levels with races programmed on earnings in their last three starts.
Green says he can only hope that Tommy Lincoln continues to improve at three, a distinct possibility given his size and late maturing history.
The American Ideal two-year-old was well behind his juvenile stablemates earlier in the season, rested when Green’s top echelon were trained down for the Young Guns series.
Tommy Lincoln has the pedigree to go on with it - his older siblings Lincoln Road and Lincoln’s Girl doing a great job now for Lincoln Farms’ Queensland trainer Al Barnes.
Shannon Flay, front left, sharing the fun of winning with her fellow owners, young and old, at Alexandra Park.Shannon’s story: Why this ratings system sucks
If harness racing officials still need convincing the handicapping system needs overhauling, Shannon Flay’s story should be compulsory reading.
The Auckland woman is one of dozens of new people introduced to the thrills of racehorse ownership by Lincoln Farms’ boss John Street with his affordable special partnerships.
For Flay the experience of owning a tiny piece of a horse is much more than watching it race on television.
The chance to see Tommy Lincoln in the flesh draws her to the track, where she not only gets to see and bet on her own pony but can mix with other owners and share the joy of seeing their horses run too.
The excitement is catching. When her sister Brenda saw what fun she was having, she took over her late dad’s share in the two-year-old.
And when their beloved Tommy scored a hat-trick last Friday night the sisters and their partners in the horse celebrated all night.
In an environment where racehorse ownership continues to dwindle, it’s this intoxication which has to be nurtured.
Not everyone will be lucky enough to enjoy such wins but so long as they can go to the races and know their horse will be competitive, they’ll be in.
Flay can think of nothing worse than Tommy Lincoln being sent to Australia to race, as mooted by trainer Ray Green if he rises so fast in the ratings he is no longer competitive here.
It’s already happened to her once before when, unable to find suitable races for Northview Hustler, and having to put up with races being cancelled due to insufficient entries, Lincoln Farms sent the horse to Queensland to race.
With a share in Hustler, Flay still watches the horse race but she says the fleeting glimpse on TV is not the same and the excitement of a win, watching from home, ebbs far too quickly when more often than not the vision cuts to the next race before the horse even comes back to scale.
“Hustler has done amazing over there but it’s just not the same. Part of the reason we got Tommy was I wanted a reason to still go to the races when Hustler moved to Australia. I barely went to the track between Hustler leaving and Tommy starting to race.
“I really don’t want to lose Tommy to Oz. He’s still a baby - he’s had only four races - and it’s just really unfair that he would have to start racing against horses that either are open class or are getting there.’’
Flay, like so many other owners hanging on to the industry by a thread, can’t understand why any business would invoke rules that alienate its customers and drive them to its competitors?
More news in Harness
‘The Kid’ flying but Argyle up against it to add good points in novel drivers’ challenge
Street’s emotion-charged night in the winners’ room - sad loss before a record four wins
It’s green jackets all the way and Ray fancies improving surprise packet Prince Lincoln
The Lincoln Wave secret is well and truly out now, but who was that mystery underbidder?
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.