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Tommy Lincoln powers home for a close last-start third behind Manila Playboy and Northview Hustler.

Tommy’s racing super and early fireworks likely at Albion Park on Saturday night

Tommy Lincoln is racing right at the top of his game but his chances at Albion Park on Saturday night will hinge squarely on what happens in the first few hundred metres.

Two weeks ago, as a $51 outsider, Tommy overcame a second row draw to power up the sprint lane for a close third in a sizzling 1:52.59 mile rate for the 1660 metres.

This time he moves up to what appears to be a good front row draw over 2138 metres but, with fast beginner Rock Bottom drawn the pole, trainer Mark Dux says crossing to the front won’t be a given.

“It would be lovely if we could lead out then hand to Turn It Up. If we can get on his back we could run a good second, if not test him.

“But I’m not confident we can cross. Rock Bottom has good gate speed and we’ve had to sit outside him before.”

Dux knows it won’t be easy getting on top of Rock Bottom given he is a stablemate of Turn It Up but says Tommy will get nothing if you try to drag him back and he starts over-racing.

“So we’ll go forward and just play it by ear. He’s racing super so we’ll give him his chance.”

On the other hand, it will be steady-as-she-goes with Captain Nemo earlier in the night when he tackles a strong field in the third race as the lowest equal rated horse.

“This is a tough race for him and he’ll find it hard. I would have kept him for Tuesday instead but those races haven’t been getting off the ground.

“There are a couple in here that ran second and third in the free-for-all last week (Cardlesfromheaven and Star Galleria).”

Captain Nemo’s form has dropped right away in his last three starts but Dux says he’s had “a couple of average trips”.

“I reckon we’ll come out steady on him this week and let him do his own thing. He’s better driven that way.

“I’m happy with his work and, even though it’s a tough field, I wouldn’t be surprised if he ran a good race.”

Captain Nemo races at 9.41pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Captain Nemo races at 9.41pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Tommy Lincoln races at 12.45am at Albion Park on Saturday night.Tommy Lincoln races at 12.45am at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 9: Kevin Kline
9.55pm

“When Maurice asked him to go at the top of the straight at Cambridge he got lost and didn’t quite know what to do. He wound up well in the end but just left it a little late. He’ll learn from that and should go well again.”

Race 10: Debbie Lincoln
10.22pm

“She has ability but she’s a work in progress. She’s fast but she needs to harness it. She gets a little claustrophobic when they come around her so the mission on Friday will be to get round without her doing anything stupid. She’s a much stronger individual now than when she started off in April.”

Dan Costello Race Photography