Tommy Lincoln … loves rolling in front in sprint trips. PHOTO: Race Images.
Tommy poised to go wire to wire on Tuesday and Dealer’s class should shine through
By Barry Lichter • 21 June 2021
Speedster Tommy Lincoln is beautifully placed to open Lincoln Farms’ Brisbane carnival assault on a winning note at Albion Park on Tuesday.
And classy three-year-old American Dealer needs only an ounce of luck from the second line to make it an opening double later in the night.
The scratching of Imasportsstar in the sixth race brings Tommy Lincoln in to two on the front row from where he looks a certain leader, pole runner Oyster Stride devoid of gate speed.
“He does look well placed,” says Green. “And if he leads, he’ll be hard to beat.”
Green says Tommy Lincoln has shown he is in good shape in training since arriving in Queensland and his host Mark Dux, who takes the reins on Tuesday, has driven the horse in work.
“Mark has a good handle on him now and he’s a good driver, very experienced.”
Tommy Lincoln is too fast for Star Galleria and Dance Time in a 1:54.4 mile at Auckland last October, one of his four wins this season. PHOTO: Megan Liefting.Tommy Lincoln, who has the scalps of Copy That and Star Galleria hanging on his belt from sprint trips in New Zealand, goes into the 1660 metre event on the back of an excellent sixth in the Four-Year-Old Emerald on Harness Jewels day at Cambridge on June 6.
Burned early to cross Kango, Tommy Lincoln then took a trail on eventual winner South Coast Arden at the bell and battled bravely in the straight to finish only four lengths from the winner, himself pacing the mile in 1:52.5.
“He won’t have to run that fast on Tuesday.”
The main dangers look to be up-and-comer Ranger Bomb, but he hasn’t raced for more than four months and has to start from the outside of the front row, and The Hervey Bay, who paced a huge race wide when scoring in a 1:53.4 mile rate at Albion Park in March.
Green hasn’t planned on tackling the feature Wondai’s Mate 1660 on Saturday week when stablemate Copy That will clash with leading Australians King Of Swing, Expensive Ego and Spirit Of St Louis, but says Tuesday’s performance will help tell him where the horse sits on the pecking order.
American Dealer drives up the passing lane to down It’s All About Faith at Ashburton, clocking 1:53.3.The same applies to American Dealer who tackles rating 62 to 69 rivals from two on the second row in the ninth race.
“If he’s on top of his game I think he’ll be too good for them,” says Green.
American Dealer turned in a baffling and uncharacteristic fifth in his latest start on Jewels day at Cambridge, driver David Butcher reporting he felt flat the whole way.
It was one of the worst runs of his career which has been studded with superlative performances, often from bad alleys.
“A lot of horses didn’t perform on Jewels day so I’ve just put the line through it.
“He’s in good shape and I’m sure he’ll go well.”
American Dealer proved he was potent over a mile when clocking 1:53.3 at Ashburton last October, beating It’s All About Faith and Krug.
Green believes recent Kiwi import Rocknroll King, formerly trained in the south by Kirsten Barclay and Tank Ellis, could be the one to beat from the pole after his recent brace of wins at Albion Park.
Tommy Lincoln races at 6.03pm NZ time at Albion Park on Tuesday.
American Dealer races at 7.52pm NZ time at Albion Park on Tuesday.
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.
