Tommy notches fifth win in Queensland and Mark says the top grade will hold no fears
Tommy Lincoln’s stylish win at Albion Park tonight convinced trainer Mark Dux that he will be more than competitive in the top grade in Brisbane.
For the fifth time in the two months since Tommy has been in Queensland, he made mincemeat of his rivals, winning in his favourite way, from the front.
Despite being caught three wide on the first bend from the outside gate, Tommy found a terrific sprint when launched by top junor Angus Garrard and came so fast leader Midnight Man had no option but to hand up.
And when he hit the after burners with a sizzling 55.3 middle half, only second favourite Mach Da Vinci could stay with him when he streaked clear turning for home.
At the line Tommy had 2.9 metres to spare on Mach Da Vinci, Dux even believing the horse started to switch off when he knew he had his rivals covered.
“After that fast middle half it was a really good run to still come home in 28.6.”
Tommy Lincoln paced the 2138 metres in a good mile rate of 1:54.9, taking his earnings in Queensland to A$41,063 from just eight starts.
“I’m still amazed someone hasn’t bought him,” said Dux. “Tommy’s got a bit of everything - he has gate speed, he can do a bit of work, and he wants to win. He just wants to get out there and race hard, he’s all racehorse.”
Dux is pretty sure the way Garrard was talking tonight, he’ll want to stay with the horse now that he’ll be boxing with the big boys.
With a rating of 98, Tommy is now in band two, meaning in all likelihood he will have to tackle the free-for-allers again next Saturday.
“You can never tell, sometimes you get a band two and three race, but it’s most likely to be a divided condition race against the top ones. But I think he’ll be a good competitive horse even in the top class.
“He’s going to have to take the step up but I can’t see why he won’t, they’re the same ones we raced last Saturday when he didn’t get much of a go.”
Dux says the barrier draws tend to determine where horses finish in the top grade, one week you’re out of it and the next from the front you’re right in contention.
“On a rating 98 he should be inside those other horses and from the front they wouldn’t beat him.”
The four-year-old American Ideal gelding’s career stats now read 37 starts, 13 wins and seven placings for $138,578 in stakes for Shannon and Brenda Flay, Ian, Kathy and Daniel Parkinson, Debbie Sparks, Ray Menzies, Denis Ebert, Ian Middleton and John and Lynne Street.
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Our runners this week
Tuesday at Cambridge
Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm
“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”
Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm
“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm
“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm
“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm
“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm
“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”
Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm
“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”