Take the short odds on brave Lincoln River at Cambridge on Thursday night
Against inferior opposition, improving three-year-old Lincoln River looks a standout bet at Cambridge on Thursday night.
Not even a wide draw of seven dents the confidence of trainer Ray Green that Lincoln River will take out the fifth race.
“He doesn’t have gate speed so it doesn’t matter where he draws. He can make his own luck and this is definitely a step down in class on what he’s been racing at Auckland.”
Lincoln River has shown great courage in all three of his latest starts at Alexandra Park:
- Last time on New Year’s Eve he sat parked for the last lap, led turning for home and was only just run down half a neck and half a neck by the talented Purdon/Phelan fillies Artisan and Miki Montana.
- On December 16 he was parked for the last 1600 metres, still led 50 metres out, and only stablemate Neptune grabbed him half a neck.
- And on December 9, he was last turning for home, came five wide and thundered home to be beaten only a head by Ohoka Achilles in 2:41.
Gelding the key
Green says gelding the horse has made the difference.
“He’s a nice horse, always was, but gelding him has been a real plus. He was getting pretty rank, he didn’t have his head in the right place, but you can see in his recent performances what a difference it has made.
“He’s definitely the one to beat on Thursday.”
Lincoln River, on R44, is the second highest assessed horse in the race, only the out-of-form I Accept Bettor rated higher on R45.
But Lincoln River easily accounted for that runner and stablemate Next To Me at last Friday’s Pukekohe workouts.
Lincoln River led all the way in the 2050 metre heat, not tested to score by three-quarters of a length, with a final half in 58.7 and quarter in 28.
Lincoln River, who is by champion sire Bettor’s Delight out of New Zealand Oaks winner Ideal Belle, helped raise $100,000 for the Foodies Foundation last August when Lincoln Farms’ owner John Street offered a 50% share in the horse to be auctioned at Foodstuffs’ 100-year celebration.
The share was bought by a team of PAK’nSAVE owner-operators, including Glenn “Grocer” Cotterill, who bought the Lincoln Rd branch in Henderson from Street in 2013.
Cotterill, who already raced horses in special partnerships with Lincoln Farms, took a 25% share for $50,000 with the other 25% spread between 10 others.
Lincoln River is also raced by John and Lynne Street, David Turner, Phil Kelly, David Hooker, Barbara O’Mara, Dave Jones and Lin and Tina Guo.
Green is keen to see what My Copy can do in race seven, the Waikato Summer Cup.
“It’s a big step-up for him - it’s the best field he’s been in so far - so it will be interesting to see where he fits, but I think he’s a chance.
“He keeps improving all the time. It’s just hard to know how far he’ll go.”
Green was impressed by My Copy’s last-start placing at Cambridge behind Riverman Sam saying “if he hadn’t been bumped out four wide turning for home, he’d have won.”
Green doesn’t anticipate any problems with My Copy having his first race from a stand - the horse has begun well in both his two recent workouts behind the tape.
Last Friday he stepped quickly to lead and finished third behind the well performed Zarias and Soundsofcash, both serious rivals on Thursday, but giving him starts of 10 metres and 20 metres.
More news in Harness
Ray: Why the Moose only battled last time and is worth another chance on Friday night
Good luck Nate! New era at Lincoln Farms as stable junior joins in training partnership
Speedy Frisco Bay can kick-start good New Year’s Eve for Lincoln Farms on Tuesday
Ray hoping Santa comes early at Cambridge on Tuesday with strong team of seven
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Tuesday at Auckland
Race 2: Colonel Lincoln
3.39pm
“He’s a beautiful horse, and a quality mover, who’s finally demonstrating his ability. He’s done a lot of work and has had a good, solid build-up so he’ll cop a bit of racing now and I don’t see why he won’t be in it again.”
Race 2: Frisco Bay
3.39pm
“If you put him in front or in the breeze he over-races. He needs a run where he can relax in behind - every time he’s got a two-hole trip he’s won. He’s a bit one-dimensional in that respect but he’s got a lot of speed and, if he’d drawn better, I’d have labelled him.”
Race 3: Lincoln Lou
4.04pm
“On paper, he should be favourite. You can’t fault that last run in the Golden Gait and if he repeats that he’s the one to beat. He seems to be back to where we had him before. He’s been incredibly unlucky in a lot of his races. We don’t need good luck, we’re just looking for no bad luck.”
Race 3: Kevin Kline
4.04pm
“I can’t see him beating our other two. I don’t think we’ll see the best of him until well into his three-year-old year. He’s a big, rangy, slow developing horse. We’ll race him on Tuesday then give him a bit of a break.”
Race 3: Debbie Lincoln
4.04pm
“I know this is a step-up in grade, and she’s drawn the outside, but I’ve got a feeling she could be up to it. Her driver, Maurice McKendry, is very enthusiastic about her and he’s no fool. He’s been happy every time he’s sat behind her. She keeps getting better and potentially could be a high class three-year-old filly. I’m quite excited about her.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
4.30pm
“He won’t burn off any quick beginners but he showed he could hold his own from the inside when he won two starts back. He’s just got to do it without doing anything tricky. He can pace roughly, he’s not the complete package yet, but when the penny drops he’ll be a serious horse.”
Race 9: The Big Lebowski
7.17pm
“I wasn’t disappointed with his last run. It’s hard to win those races from long back marks at Cambridge - Copy That had to go a New Zealand record to do it. He’s as good as he can be at the moment but these are the best horses in commission and we’ll be grateful for what we can get.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Cambridge
Race 3: Onyx Shard
6.38pm
Update: Scratched
“She can get some of it. She has a good draw so should get a good trip. She’s training on well.”
Race 4: Commander Lincoln
7.09pm
“The draw doesn’t matter with him as he’s not one to leave the gate. I thought he went super last time. He got home really well and was unlucky not to run second or even win.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.33pm
“Forget that last run. He half choked when Zac tried to restrain him and started pulling. He’s got a better draw this time, should hop straight into the trail, and hopefully get home as well as when he won the time before.”