Sir Tiger and Billy Lincoln give Al great shot at opening double at Albion Park on Friday
Both Sir Tiger and Billy Lincoln look winners on paper at Albion Park on Friday but trainer Al Barnes says they’ll still have to earn it.
Both horses were beaten as hot favourites at their last starts, Sir Tiger dead unlucky when unable to find a gap in the run home and Billy Lincoln going under by a head at the unbackable odds of $1.08.
Sir Tiger opens the batting on Friday in the first race, which Barnes says looks a weaker field than the one he beat at his Queensland debut.
And this time, while still on the second row, Sir Tiger is at least in the running line, compared with his last start tragedy when, from the inside of the second row, driver Hayden Barnes never had the opportunity to work into the clear and went to the line hard held in fifth place.
“Hayden said he was travelling easily but he’d have had to knock one over to get out so there was no point in that.
“He’s going to be a $1.20 shot but it’s not just a question of going out and winning. He should win but it’s an even-looking race and he’ll have to earn it.”
Barnes says it helps that people know his New Zealand horses have a bit of quality so they give them respect.
“When Hayden goes round and asserts his authority nine times out of 10 they’d rather sit on his back then try to hold him out.”
Barnes says he’ll leave it up to Hayden to decide how best to drive Billy Lincoln in the second race but over only 1660 metres letting him settle early from the second row, then sending him, would make him hard to beat.
“But he may elect to drive him as a sit-sprinter and see what he can do.”
In each of his three runs in Brisbane, Barnes has taken Billy Lincoln to the front and, even though collared last time, he still improved on his previous time, clocking his third and fourth quarters in 28 flat.
“I was a bit disappointed at first, I thought Hayden should have got on his bike and kicked when his only rival (Saint Kilda Beach) was coming four wide. But he did run a PB and he’s never gone quicker than 56 for his last half before so maybe that’s as good as he can go for now. We know he’s a work in progress.”
Barnes says it will be interesting to see what Billy can do if Hayden chooses to follow his rivals through from two on the second line, drive him in behind, and mount a late challenge.
“He should go close either way but he’s six months away from being a racehorse.”
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Our runners this week
Tuesday at Cambridge
Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm
“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”
Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm
“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm
“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm
“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm
“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm
“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”
Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm
“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”