Ray’s scary warning: Stand by for an even deadlier version of Copy That this campaign
Trainer Ray Green has a sobering message for the connections of Copy That’s rivals in the next few months.
“He’s on the improve, believe it or not. He’s definitely grown a little during his spell and should be in for a good campaign.”
Copy That hasn’t raced since dispatching Self Assured in the Flying Mile at Cambridge seven weeks ago, and it was feared initially that a bug that went through the stable in the last few weeks might delay his return.
But any doubts that he would be ready for Friday night’s $28,500 Founders’ Cup at Alexandra Park, appropriately sponsored by Lincoln Farms, were dispelled in a few dazzling seconds at Pukekohe last Saturday.
Ray Green … Copy That has grown and improved.When driver Maurice McKendry asked the horse to sprint up to the leaders in his 2050 metre workout, he was electric, ripping off a 55.5 final half and 26.7 quarter to beat Spirit Of St Louis and American Dealer.
“He was deadly and Maurice said he couldn’t get over how easily he did it,” Green said.
With only five rivals on Friday night, the closest to his rating 112 being the R87 Spirit Of St Louis (having his first start in the north for Josh Dickie) Copy That has opened a $1.45 favourite for the mobile 2200 metres.
“It’s hard to imagine them beating him fair and square. He’d have to be exceedingly unlucky or do something stupid.”
The Founders Cup is the first of six Group race assignments for Copy That in the next three and a half months, his schedule expected to take in all the following:
* February 26: Group III $28,500 Lincoln Farms Founders Cup at Auckland
* March 5: Group II $50,000 City Of Auckland Free-for-all at Auckland
* April 3: Group I $100,000 Easter Cup at Addington
* April 23: Group I $100,000 Taylor Mile (4yo) at Auckland
* April 30: Group I $100,000 Messenger (4yo) at Auckland
* June 6: Group I $100,000 Harness Emerald (4yo) at Cambridge.
LIttle American Dealer whips up the passing lane to race past It’s All About Faith in a Sires’ Stakes heat at Ashburton last October. That’s Aladdin’s head in fourth, with third placed Krug out of picture shot. PHOTO: Ajay Berry/Race Images.Star three-year-old American Dealer ($3.80), who also has some big assignments ahead of him, meets an even smaller field on Friday night in the Woodlands Stud Northern Derby Prelude.
But while he takes on just four other horses, they include two of the best in Krug and It’s All About Faith.
It will be American Dealer’s first race since New Year’s Eve when he was a very brave third in Aladdin’s Harness Million after driver David Butcher was stuck in the breeze all the way.
“He’ll go a good race but it will improve him a lot,” Green said.
“David was really happy with him at the workouts, didn’t press him too hard, and he pulled up well.
“I still think he’s the best horse in the race. He’s very versatile, he can handle any situation, and while he’ll be better for the run it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if he won. He smoked them in the Alabar Classic and Northern Stakes.”
Argyle … needs a belt tightener for the Young Guns Final.Green isn’t expecting two-year-old Argyle to beat his older maiden rivals in the last race but says it’s important that he has another run before the $95,000 Young Guns Final on March 5.
“I’d like to have seen him draw handier. He might end up getting a rugged trip but he needs the experience and a run under his belt.
“I expect David will go back from seven and come into it late. I’m not holding my breath that he can win.”
While only sixth at his last start, Green said Butcher was quite happy with his effort.
“He was a sitting duck, parked the whole way and that’s not the easiest situation for a two-year-old to be in. He ran on reasonably well.”
Stablemate Captain Nemo ($51) will be racing for the crumbs only in the same race, a fifth-placed cheque of $435 looking his likely return.
“He’s not quite up to the best in there but he’s honest enough.”
Green has much higher hopes for his two newcomers, Tartan Robyn and Smokinhotcheddar, who both ran improvers’ races in their first start for the stable last week.
Former southerner Tartan Robyn has the right draw of two to upset in the seventh race.
“I thought his first run was a beaut. He had a bad trip, parked most of the way, and still ran on. He picked the bit up again at the 50 and went to the line on a death grip.
“If he led on Friday night he’d be hard to beat.”
Zachary Butcher … impressed by Smokinhotcheddar’s first run for the stable.Smokinhotcheddar ($14), who has the pole in the fourth race, was even better than Tartan Robyn last week.
Second last in the running from her unruly draw, the mare rode the three wide train and was putting in her best work for Zachary Butcher in the last 100 metres to finish only two lengths behind winner Mailman.
“I thought her run for fifth was super. Zac was high on the way she finished and said if she’d been a slot and a half closer she would have won.
“I haven’t been there for the last couple of days but I understand she’s trained on really well.
“I’ve taken her off the unruly and she’s drawn one. Hopefully she doesn’t stuff the start. If she doesn’t, she’ll be right in it.
“She’s been a different horse since we had some vet work done on her. She was feeling her feet and we’ve sorted that and her hocks and knees have also been injected.”
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.