Ray’s scary warning: Stand by for an even deadlier version of Copy That this campaign
Trainer Ray Green has a sobering message for the connections of Copy That’s rivals in the next few months.
“He’s on the improve, believe it or not. He’s definitely grown a little during his spell and should be in for a good campaign.”
Copy That hasn’t raced since dispatching Self Assured in the Flying Mile at Cambridge seven weeks ago, and it was feared initially that a bug that went through the stable in the last few weeks might delay his return.
But any doubts that he would be ready for Friday night’s $28,500 Founders’ Cup at Alexandra Park, appropriately sponsored by Lincoln Farms, were dispelled in a few dazzling seconds at Pukekohe last Saturday.
When driver Maurice McKendry asked the horse to sprint up to the leaders in his 2050 metre workout, he was electric, ripping off a 55.5 final half and 26.7 quarter to beat Spirit Of St Louis and American Dealer.
“He was deadly and Maurice said he couldn’t get over how easily he did it,” Green said.
With only five rivals on Friday night, the closest to his rating 112 being the R87 Spirit Of St Louis (having his first start in the north for Josh Dickie) Copy That has opened a $1.45 favourite for the mobile 2200 metres.
“It’s hard to imagine them beating him fair and square. He’d have to be exceedingly unlucky or do something stupid.”
The Founders Cup is the first of six Group race assignments for Copy That in the next three and a half months, his schedule expected to take in all the following:
* February 26: Group III $28,500 Lincoln Farms Founders Cup at Auckland
* March 5: Group II $50,000 City Of Auckland Free-for-all at Auckland
* April 3: Group I $100,000 Easter Cup at Addington
* April 23: Group I $100,000 Taylor Mile (4yo) at Auckland
* April 30: Group I $100,000 Messenger (4yo) at Auckland
* June 6: Group I $100,000 Harness Emerald (4yo) at Cambridge.
Star three-year-old American Dealer ($3.80), who also has some big assignments ahead of him, meets an even smaller field on Friday night in the Woodlands Stud Northern Derby Prelude.
But while he takes on just four other horses, they include two of the best in Krug and It’s All About Faith.
It will be American Dealer’s first race since New Year’s Eve when he was a very brave third in Aladdin’s Harness Million after driver David Butcher was stuck in the breeze all the way.
“He’ll go a good race but it will improve him a lot,” Green said.
“David was really happy with him at the workouts, didn’t press him too hard, and he pulled up well.
“I still think he’s the best horse in the race. He’s very versatile, he can handle any situation, and while he’ll be better for the run it wouldn’t surprise me in the slightest if he won. He smoked them in the Alabar Classic and Northern Stakes.”
Green isn’t expecting two-year-old Argyle to beat his older maiden rivals in the last race but says it’s important that he has another run before the $95,000 Young Guns Final on March 5.
“I’d like to have seen him draw handier. He might end up getting a rugged trip but he needs the experience and a run under his belt.
“I expect David will go back from seven and come into it late. I’m not holding my breath that he can win.”
While only sixth at his last start, Green said Butcher was quite happy with his effort.
“He was a sitting duck, parked the whole way and that’s not the easiest situation for a two-year-old to be in. He ran on reasonably well.”
Stablemate Captain Nemo ($51) will be racing for the crumbs only in the same race, a fifth-placed cheque of $435 looking his likely return.
“He’s not quite up to the best in there but he’s honest enough.”
Green has much higher hopes for his two newcomers, Tartan Robyn and Smokinhotcheddar, who both ran improvers’ races in their first start for the stable last week.
Former southerner Tartan Robyn has the right draw of two to upset in the seventh race.
“I thought his first run was a beaut. He had a bad trip, parked most of the way, and still ran on. He picked the bit up again at the 50 and went to the line on a death grip.
“If he led on Friday night he’d be hard to beat.”
Smokinhotcheddar ($14), who has the pole in the fourth race, was even better than Tartan Robyn last week.
Second last in the running from her unruly draw, the mare rode the three wide train and was putting in her best work for Zachary Butcher in the last 100 metres to finish only two lengths behind winner Mailman.
“I thought her run for fifth was super. Zac was high on the way she finished and said if she’d been a slot and a half closer she would have won.
“I haven’t been there for the last couple of days but I understand she’s trained on really well.
“I’ve taken her off the unruly and she’s drawn one. Hopefully she doesn’t stuff the start. If she doesn’t, she’ll be right in it.
“She’s been a different horse since we had some vet work done on her. She was feeling her feet and we’ve sorted that and her hocks and knees have also been injected.”
More news in Harness
Charity horse Kevin Kline looks a good actor and Ray’s pretty hopeful for Friday night
What a Dude! The Big Lebowski bowls ‘em and sets aim for Friday’s $200,000 Free-for-all
Smart trial shows why Ray’s surprised by The Big Lebowski’s big odds for Tuesday
He’s been a ‘deliquent’ but Sugar Ray’s ready for centre stage at Ashburton on Monday
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Tuesday at Addington
Race 4: The Big Lebowski
1.32pm
“His run at the cup trials on Wednesday has set him up nicely and I’m sure he’ll go well. He’s got the draw (four) and the driver (Blair Orange) and the horse is in a good place at the moment. He should be right in the fray.”
Ray’s comments
Friday at Addington
Race 12: The Big Lebowski
7.48pm
“He comes in to six with scratchings but there’s plenty of speed inside him so he’s going to need a bit of luck. But I’m sure he’ll go a good race as he’s right on top of his game. He’s pulled up well from cup day.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Cambridge
Race 7: Kevin Kline
8.33pm
“I’d say he’s the one to beat. He certainly deserves to be favourite as the others have been around for a while. He’s a big, gangly horse who has time written all over him but he’s getting stronger all the time and he’s doing everything right now. The raw ability is there - he’s got a bit of speed - and he’s been running good fractions at the trials and getting home well.”
Race 11: Commander Lincoln
10.22pm
“Some of these look a lot better than he’s used to running against but they’re in there for a reason. He’s on the second row but he’s always running on and I’m sure he’ll go his usual, honest race.”