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Frisco Bay, who lines up in the last race on Thursday night, is better than his form line suggests.
Ray’s saving his best ‘til last - Frisco Bay’s the best of the night at Cambridge on Thursday
Lincoln Farms lines up six horses at Cambridge on Thursday night but you’ll have to wait until the last race to see the best chance in Frisco Bay.
The Downbytheseaside colt’s form is nothing to get excited about but he’s been racing tougher opposition at Auckland where he placed two starts back, a feat which only one of his rivals, Change Tact, has achieved.
Frisco Bay was handled quietly that night by driver Maurice McKendry and came from equal last on the home bend, unleashing the fastest closing quarter to run past all of the field except Aye Aye Captain and Shake A Leg.
Last time, however, he was put into the race early by McKendry, three wide for 700 metres of the first lap before finding one-one cover.
And while he moved up in the slushy conditions to challenge for the lead turning in, the effort told and he peaked in the final 150 metres to run seventh.
Green would like to see the horse driven quietly again this week from gate six.
“When he sat back and had one lash at them he got home really well. Like most horses he can’t burn the candle at both ends.
“But the ability is certainly there and, if things go his way, he’s a serious chance. He’d be our best chance of the night.”
Green, who bought Frisco Bay for just $9000 as a weanling and now races him with Lincoln Farms’ owners John and Lynne Street, thought the colt would have won a race long before now.
But when he didn’t live up to his early rating as potentially the best two-year-old in Lincoln Farms’ barn, Green discovered Frisco Bay’s air intake was being compromised by two little flaps in his throat, which were trimmed back in minor surgery last year.
He showed in his second run back at Auckland on March 1 that he was in better health when he fired to an early lead. It was all looking good until he was attacked hard by eventual winner Smart And Mighty and started racing too fiercely, eventually tiring to fourth.
Zachary Butcher … handles the unpredictable Lincoln Cove.If Frisco Bay can stay relaxed, Green thinks he can end the night on a high but he is nowhere near as confident he can start the meeting so well with Lincoln Cove (race 2).
Backed heavily to start a hot favourite in both his recent runs at Cambridge, Lincoln Cove has looked the winner each time but extinguished his chances by galloping in nearly the same spot on the home turn.
New head gear
Driver Zachary Butcher was confident a single spreader would solve the problem last time, preventing the horse from brushing his knee, but the stable has reached for new head gear this time, replacing blinds and removeable deafeners with a pacifier and fixed deafeners.
“Zac said he was travelling well when he broke last time but he’s a young, green horse who might need some more practice.
“He can win easy, peasy if he does things right but he can’t be relied on. He’ll win races but he’s too unpredictable to label.”
Green says even the most casual of punters can see it will be very hard for Leo Lincoln to win the fifth race, given its cruel wide rating band.
As a rating 48 pacer, Leo gets the pole draw, but he has to take on rivals rated as high as 64.
Two of those, Little Spike (R61) and Vessem (R64) are coming off the Northern Derby, Arna Donnelly’s pacer an excellent fourth and the Purdon runner an unlucky sixth behind Cold Chisel.
“Leo won well last time but this is much harder,” Green said. “It’s a real sign of the times, with so many horses being lost overseas, but he’s got to race somewhere, we can’t retire him, so we just have to cop it.
“From the draw he should get a good trip and if he races up to his best form he’d be a rough place chance, I suppose.”
Obadiah Dragon … tougher opposition than at Manawatu. PHOTO: Jack McKenzie.Obadiah Dragon doesn’t have a wide rating band to overcome in the sixth race but the opposition he faces is still much bettor than that which allowed him to win and run third at the recent Manawatu meeting.
“He’s not the worst in the field but I won’t be holding my breath.”
Green lines up two in the seventh race, both unlikely winners with Commander Lincoln starting from the pole and Lenny Lincoln from four on the second row.
Commander Lincoln has a last-start second alongside his name but that was in a weak amateur race at Cambridge last month.
“He’s really only going for a ride round, but he might as well race as go to the trials. If he could hold up from the draw and stay handy you could hope like hell he lobs into some money but he’s not a betting proposition.
“Lenny beat only an average field last time and will need a lot of luck from the draw.”
More news in Harness
‘The Kid’ flying but Argyle up against it to add good points in novel drivers’ challenge
Street’s emotion-charged night in the winners’ room - sad loss before a record four wins
It’s green jackets all the way and Ray fancies improving surprise packet Prince Lincoln
The Lincoln Wave secret is well and truly out now, but who was that mystery underbidder?
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.