Ray makes good cases for both Sam and Frankie to push the faves on Thursday night
Trainer Ray Green is tipping both Simply Sam and Frankie Major as winning chances in the main pace at Alexandra Park on Thursday night.
Only six horses line up in the last race over 2200 metres with Frankie Major up in grade and having his first try from a stand, and Simply Sam out to resurrect his excellent form line after an unlucky last-start eighth.
Green makes good cases for both pacers - Frankie with a bit more sharp speed than Sam, but Sam having a little more strength, being a year older.
Green believes Simply Sam could have beaten Dontstopmenow last start had he not copped interference in the run home which first saw him lock wheels and checked into a break then have to be angled out again 50 metres out.
Simply Sam beats only one to the line but had a shocking run in the home stretch.“He sprinted quite quickly when clear the last bit, better than most,” Green said.
The horse’s late surge carried him within three lengths of winner Dontstopmenow, who capitalised on a perfect trail, and his closing sectionals of 55.5 and 27.5, despite being hampered, were right up with his recent efforts.
“I’m quite confident he’ll go another good race and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won.”
Green said while a southern campaign had been mooted for the horse, with the Kaikoura Cup then the junior free-for-all on trotting cup day, in the end the likely financial bottom line dictated his staying home.
“He wasn’t going to beat Akuta and it’s an expensive exercise taking horses down there. It just didn’t make sense for the purses he would have been racing for.
“It’s a hard trip too and he would have come back a tired horse.
“We were also negotiating a sale but it fell through.”
Frankie Major, centre, showed high speed when looping the field 600 metres from home last start. PHOTO: Megan Liefting/Race Images.Green said Frankie Major’s fans, who have cleaned up with his two recent wins, shouldn’t discard him on Thursday just because he rises sharply in grade.
When Frankie surged round the field at Auckland last time he was going past rating 46 to 54 opposition, but he meets horses rated 56 to 73 this time.
“But I rate him right up with those other horses. He’s getting stronger as he gets older and is in lifetime best form. He’s not out of this at all.”
Green is confident Frankie will handle his first standing start after 33 races.
“He’s such a good gaited horse I can’t see it being a problem.”
Green was happy enough with the way the three-year-old performed in a standing 2500 metre workout at Pukekohe last Saturday when he was slightly hesitant but moved away safely before downing a fast-closing Simply Sam and Jethro Bodine.
“Zac knows the horse well and I’m sure he’ll be all right.”
Green said he doubted anything would “go berserk” in front in a small field and, if Frankie got the right trip, without being used early, he’d be right in the finish.
Butcher will be having just his third drive on My Copy in the seventh race on Thursday night and Green is looking forward to seeing how he plays it.
“So far we haven’t really used him out of the gate. It will be interesting to see what Zac decides to do from the two draw.”
Green rates My Copy a serious winning chance after his unlucky last start fifth when held up in heavy traffic turning for home and only really clear over the last 75 metres.
Despite that, My Copy finished only 2.6 lengths from Frankie Major, sprinting home in 55.9 and 27.1.
Lincoln River’s 554567 form line might look ordinary but he’s racing much better than that would suggest, says Green.
“He’s going quite well. I’m pleased with him. He’s just had no luck.”
Drawn nine, seven and nine in his last three starts, Lincoln River comes in to four this week.
“He doesn’t have huge gate speed but I’d like to see him not get parked. I’ve got no doubt he’ll win one soon - and it wouldn’t surprise me if it was on Thursday. He just needs the right trip.”
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.