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Ray: How will they beat Copy That? And look out for Line Up who was huge on the clock

“All things being equal I can’t see how they’ll beat him.”

Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green doesn’t mince his words when he sums up how he thinks Copy That will go in Saturday night’s Group II $50,000 Alabar Classic at Alexandra Park.

Drawn two, Copy That is beautifully placed to get the run of the race and, after the demolition job he turned on last week from the second row, it’s hard to argue with Green.

Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That was never out of second gear in the Northern Stakes after shooting to the front at the 1500 metres and driver David Butcher didn’t even activate the removable deafeners because he had the field covered.

It was an impressive all round display from Copy That who paced the 2200 metres in a sizzling 2:39.2, his last 800 in 55.1.

Green says Copy That has thrived since the race.

“They all trained this morning (Copy That, Line Up and Hampton Banner) and Copy That was travelling the best at the finish.

“But they all went well and the other two (both by Bettor’s Delight) don’t put in until they hear the tote bells ringing.”

Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Green is expecting a top run by Line Up, in particular, on Saturday night.

While the bare result shows he ran last of the nine runners in the Northern Stakes, Line Up actually paced a terrific race, with the fastest closing sectionals of 54 flat and 26.6. Copy That recorded 55.1 and 26.6.

Forced back to last from his wide gate, Line Up was still at the rear and four wide when mounting his run turning for home and really hit his straps down the stretch.

And driver Anthony Butt reported he had a real job trying to pull the horse up down the back straight.

Green says Line Up, who was officially timed to run his last mile in 1:54.1, was simply “a victim of circumstances.”

Line Up has again drawn wide but expect Butt to put him into the picture at some stage on Friday night.

“He’s definitely a chance,” says Green. “I don’t think there’s anything between the pair.”

While Hampton Banner will struggle to compete with his stablemates he, too, ran out of his skin last week, clocking sectionals of 54.8 and 26.6 in running sixth after being snookered four deep at the bell.

Dropping to easier grade

Lincoln Farms’ two other runners on the night are both for Copy That’s Australian owner Merv Butterworth, Ace Commander (race 10) and The Empress (race 1) both dropping into a much easier grade.

Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.The form digits say Ace Commander ran only sixth last week but against far superior opposition he was in a close three-way line-up for fourth, with Renezmae and Havehorsewilltravel.

After stepping smartly from his 20 metre handicap, Ace Commander was first four deep, then five deep on the markers, before being extricated down the back straight the last time.

He was pushed four wide round the turn and trotted home strongly to be only 2.3 lengths from winner Circus Boy.

On Saturday, as a rating 66 horse, he runs in a small field for rating 50 to 68 trotters.

The Empress will also find the opening event, for rating 50 to 66 pacers, a huge drop on the mares she faced in last week’s Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

Green says he saw little point in being “cannon fodder” for Belle Of Montana and co again in the Queen Of Hearts, and believes The Empress can get some of the money on Friday.

Driver Blair Orange reported The Empress had been travelling well last week, three back on the markers, until the leaders sprinted on the home turn when “she was left floundering and paced roughly.”

“She doesn’t get round the corners as well as you’d like but Blair said she never quit and was holding her own.”

Drawn three on the second row, The Empress will however need her share of luck.

Our runners this week

Tuesday at Cambridge

Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm

“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”

Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm

“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”

Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm

“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”

Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm

“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm

“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm

“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”

Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm

“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”

Whales Harness