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Ray: How will they beat Copy That? And look out for Line Up who was huge on the clock

“All things being equal I can’t see how they’ll beat him.”

Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green doesn’t mince his words when he sums up how he thinks Copy That will go in Saturday night’s Group II $50,000 Alabar Classic at Alexandra Park.

Drawn two, Copy That is beautifully placed to get the run of the race and, after the demolition job he turned on last week from the second row, it’s hard to argue with Green.

Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That cruises along in front with a lap to go last week.Copy That was never out of second gear in the Northern Stakes after shooting to the front at the 1500 metres and driver David Butcher didn’t even activate the removable deafeners because he had the field covered.

It was an impressive all round display from Copy That who paced the 2200 metres in a sizzling 2:39.2, his last 800 in 55.1.

Green says Copy That has thrived since the race.

“They all trained this morning (Copy That, Line Up and Hampton Banner) and Copy That was travelling the best at the finish.

“But they all went well and the other two (both by Bettor’s Delight) don’t put in until they hear the tote bells ringing.”

Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Line Up is last with a lap to run in the Northern Stakes, about to unleash a 54 flat last half.Green is expecting a top run by Line Up, in particular, on Saturday night.

While the bare result shows he ran last of the nine runners in the Northern Stakes, Line Up actually paced a terrific race, with the fastest closing sectionals of 54 flat and 26.6. Copy That recorded 55.1 and 26.6.

Forced back to last from his wide gate, Line Up was still at the rear and four wide when mounting his run turning for home and really hit his straps down the stretch.

And driver Anthony Butt reported he had a real job trying to pull the horse up down the back straight.

Green says Line Up, who was officially timed to run his last mile in 1:54.1, was simply “a victim of circumstances.”

Line Up has again drawn wide but expect Butt to put him into the picture at some stage on Friday night.

“He’s definitely a chance,” says Green. “I don’t think there’s anything between the pair.”

While Hampton Banner will struggle to compete with his stablemates he, too, ran out of his skin last week, clocking sectionals of 54.8 and 26.6 in running sixth after being snookered four deep at the bell.

Dropping to easier grade

Lincoln Farms’ two other runners on the night are both for Copy That’s Australian owner Merv Butterworth, Ace Commander (race 10) and The Empress (race 1) both dropping into a much easier grade.

Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.Ace Commander is close up in a much stronger field than he meets on Saturday night.The form digits say Ace Commander ran only sixth last week but against far superior opposition he was in a close three-way line-up for fourth, with Renezmae and Havehorsewilltravel.

After stepping smartly from his 20 metre handicap, Ace Commander was first four deep, then five deep on the markers, before being extricated down the back straight the last time.

He was pushed four wide round the turn and trotted home strongly to be only 2.3 lengths from winner Circus Boy.

On Saturday, as a rating 66 horse, he runs in a small field for rating 50 to 68 trotters.

The Empress will also find the opening event, for rating 50 to 66 pacers, a huge drop on the mares she faced in last week’s Northern Breeders’ Stakes.

Green says he saw little point in being “cannon fodder” for Belle Of Montana and co again in the Queen Of Hearts, and believes The Empress can get some of the money on Friday.

Driver Blair Orange reported The Empress had been travelling well last week, three back on the markers, until the leaders sprinted on the home turn when “she was left floundering and paced roughly.”

“She doesn’t get round the corners as well as you’d like but Blair said she never quit and was holding her own.”

Drawn three on the second row, The Empress will however need her share of luck.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm

“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”

Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm

“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”

Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm

“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”

Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm

“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”

Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm

“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”

Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm

“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”

Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm

“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”

Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm

“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”

Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm

“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”

Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm

“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”

Mark Dux

Mark Dux’s comments

Saturday night at Albion Park

Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time

“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Sunday at Manawatu

Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm

“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”

Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm

“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.

Whales Harness