Copy That is too fast for Self Assured and Spankem in the Ashburton Flying Stakes. PHOTO: Ajay Berry/Race Images.
Ray: Flying Mile right up Copy That’s alley and, if he leads, it should be game over
By Barry Lichter • 6 January 2021
Copy That is primed to really fly in Friday night’s Flying Mile at Cambridge judging by his sectional figures in the Auckland Cup.
But Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green won’t be drawn on what time the little four-year-old will run when he faces two of the best horses in the country, Self Assured and Spankem, on one of the fastest circuits.
Incredibly, Copy That paced his last mile of the 3200 metre Auckland Cup, sitting parked, in 1:53.5, and was still coming at the finish, testimony to how well Green has the horse going.
Some big name pacers have failed to run anywhere near as fast as that in winning the Cambridge Flying Mile over the last five years - Chase Auckland clocked 1:54.9, Turn It Up 1:54.5, Star Galleria 1:54.1, Lazarus 1:54.9 and The Orange Agent 1:56.3.
Copy That looks more likely to go closer to the 1:51.6 Adore Me ran in 2015 but Green isn’t rating that as a priority, nor testing Border Control’s New Zealand record of 1:50.6.
“You get no points for breaking records,” Green said. “If Maurice (McKendry) can get in a slow quarter, I’m sure he will.”
Green said Copy That’s “huge” Auckland Cup placing dispelled any theories that the horse couldn’t get two miles but “the mile is right up his alley.
“He’ll fly a mile and if he made the lead without too much trouble I think he’d have them covered.
“If you take a line through the Ashburton race I can’t imagine the result being any different.”
In the Ashburton Flying Sakes, run at 2400 metres, Copy That led and easily held Self Assured and Spankem, reeling off closing sectionals of 53.4 and 25.2.
That race, on October 26, was the last race Copy That won but Green said the horse had had plenty of bad luck in five starts since.
Potent at shorter trip
He showed just how potent he was at the shorter trip when he clocked a mile rate of 1:52 in winning over 1700 metres at Auckland last August.
Copy That, from three, needs to cross Mach Shard and Triple Eight to lead on Friday night, which he is certainly capable of.
“It’s pointless going back but crossing them could be easier said than done. If Mach Shard wants to lead, it will make things tougher.”
But Copy That definitely has the barrier edge on the two now Hayden Cullen-trained pair Self Assured and Spankem, who are in six and seven, which is reflected in the bookies’ odds.
The opening market has Copy That a $2.30 favourite, ahead of Spankem ($3.20) and Self Assured ($3.40) who has not started since winning the New Zealand Cup two months ago.
Green said he’d just kept Copy That ticking over since the Auckland Cup and he trained nicely on Tuesday, without being asked for too much.
“He was pretty fit before the cup and seems very well.”
Captain Nemo shades stablemate Apieceoflou in his win at Cambridge. PHOTO: Chanelle Lawson.Captain Nemo, in race two, is easily the best chance of the remaining three Lincoln Farms’ runners on the night.
He drops way down in grade to a rating 40 to 48 race, whereas he faced the best three-year-olds in the country last time in the Harness Million at Alexandra Park.
Captain Nemo leaves from the outside of the arm but Green says he can overcome that.
“He just needs to do everything right. He’s still a work in progress and hits a knee going right-handed. Left handed, at Cambridge, he seems a lot better. He’s a definite winning chance.”
In his only two starts on the course, Captain Nemo has won and run fourth, pacing a mile rate of 1:55.6 when fourth to B D Joe and American Dealer in a Sires’ Stakes heat last October.
He was having his first race for more than two months in the Harness Million on New Year’s Eve so will be vastly fitter this time.
Green said Themightyserina (race six) and Brian Christopher (race 11) performed well at the Pukekohe workouts last Saturday, both finishing second after trailing on a wet, slushy track.
“They’ll win one soon but I can’t guarantee it will be Friday as they’re both inconvenienced by bad draws. “Serina will go a good, honest race but she’ll have to rough it to get handy from seven. She’d be better with a draw and a trip.
“Brian Christopher needs to draw the front and go forward but that won’t happen from the inside of the second row on Friday night.
“He’ll need some luck. If they roll along, it will suit him.”
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.
