Our gutsy Tommy’s ready for another sizzler at Albion Park on Saturday night
Trainer Mark Dux is looking for a top three finish from Tommy Lincoln tonight after his fighting fourth in the fastest mile ever run at Albion Park.
Dux believes Lincoln Farms’ flagship pacer should really have filled a spot in last week’s sizzler, when winner Blacksadance stopped the clock at a track record 1:50 flat mile rate for the 1660 metres.
Dux calculated Tommy’s own time at 1:50.81, only four tenths of a second outside the previous record held by Cruz, and says he would probably have held third had driver Angus Garrard not come out of the trail to challenge round the home turn.
“Angus said he was travelling and he thought the leader was hanging a little and might come back on top of him and he didn’t want his momentum stopped.
“But when they’re going that fast you don’t want to leave the pegs. He could have ducked up the sprint lane and, while he wouldn’t have won, he’d probably have run third.”
As it was, first Northview Hustler, who had been three deep, then Bitcoin, also on the markers, gathered him in, Tommy finishing 11.4 metres from the winner, but still recording closing sectionals of 54.95 and 28.11.
Dux says Tommy has trained well this week and believes he will have the horse even fitter for tonight’s fourth race which is over the longer 2138 metres.
“Last week I didn’t train him like normal because I tried him in the anti choke device but this week he’s had all the work he normally gets.”
The effectiveness of the anti-choke device was proven when Tommy showed no signs of dropping out like he did at his previous stat when Dux is sure he was cutting off his wind.
“He settled nicely last week and his breathing was good. If he can breathe, he can run.
“It’s a good tough race this week - with Northview Hustler, Turn It Up, It Ain’t The Money and Deus Ex - but barring bad luck I’m hoping for a top three finish.
“He’ll get a nice run from the inside again and, while there’s a lot of speed in the race, I’m not worried if he holds up or hands.
“But we don’t want to hand to one who will hand to another, and be left sitting three back, so hopefully he can let only one go.”
In all likelihood that one will be the Hustler, who has found top form again with Jack Butler, and goes up to his preferred trip tonight.
Same tactics with Nemo
Dux will be using the same tactics as last week with Captain Nemo who outran his $34 outside odds last week with an excellent 2.9 metre second.
Even though Nemo has drawn wide out in six, his instructions to daughter Madi will be to try to find the spot outside the leader without doing too much work.
“He went terrific last week, she gave him every hope. He’s stronger for longer if he doesn’t have to burn too hard off the gate.
“There’s a bit of speed inside us but we’ve got enough speed to come across with The Ideal Dancer. I don’t think there’ll be a lead for the horses out wide but I think he’d be happy to take a trail.”
Dux says the key with Nemo is to get him outside the leader, pacing strongly.
“He travelled really well there the other day, like the old Nemo. That’s how he travelled last prep. A couple of times recently he’s got there but has been off the bit and we’ve been niggling at him.
“He’s done well this week and I’m sure he’ll race great again. I don’t think Pelosi is going as well as she can and it will be hard for her from seven, she’ll have to go back from there.”
More news in Harness
Brace for Ray and Lincoln Farms at Cambridge but Colonel’s placing just as thrilling
Ray: Preferential draw for top fillies makes it tough for everyone else in Golden Gait series
Patient owners hoping high-priced Colonel can salute at Cambridge on Thursday night
Friday’s Lincoln Farms Franklin Cup all about the standing start manners of Aussie raider
Our runners this week
Tuesday at Cambridge
Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm
“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”
Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm
“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm
“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm
“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm
“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm
“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”
Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm
“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”