Nightmare draws for seven Jewels favourites - and Copy That cops the worst of it
Today’s barrier draw proved a nightmare for almost all the favourites for Sunday week’s Harness Jewels.
Horses who were at unbackably tight odds yesterday for the Cambridge marquee event will drift markedly in the betting including:
- Amazing Dream, who was at $1.15 but has drawn the inside of the second row in the Four-Year-Old Diamond.
- Krug, a $1.45 favourite for the Three-Year-Old Emerald, who is also buried one on the second row.
- Lincoln Farms’ Copy That, at $2.30 before the draw, is landed with the outside of the second row in the Four-Year-Old Emerald, eliminating his gate speed and chance of leading.
- Bettor Twist, $1.25 in the futures market for the Three-Year-Old Diamond, gets eight, the outside of the front row.
- Five Wise Men, a $1.70 pop in the Three-Year-Old Ruby will have to cope with seven on the front line.
- Both Muscle Mountain, $2.10, and Bolt For Brilliance, $2.30, cop seven on the front and two on the second row in the Three-Year-Old Ruby and
- Two-Year-Old Ruby co-favourite Highgrove, at $2.70 yesterday, is wide out in seven.
Only True Fantasy, the $1.60 favourite for the Two-Year-Old Diamond drew well in three while Two-Year-Old Emerald top fancy Akuta, $1.45, will start from five.
Open public draw
Trainer Ray Green was philosophical about Copy That’s draw while still questioning why an open public draw, instead of computer generated alleys, wasn’t done for such a feature meeting.
“It would certainly silence the critics who say the draws are rigged and it would be a useful marketing promotion.”
“But luck’s the name of the game at the end of the day and you’ve just go to cop it I suppose. Somebody’s got to be out there.
“On paper it’s a terrible draw for Copy That but you just don’t know what can happen.
“A lot of drivers panic in those big races and do crazy things they normally wouldn’t do.
“We’ll be looking to lock on to something with a live chance. It would certainly silence the critics if he was to still win. First they said he couldn’t get two miles then he was only a front-runner …
“We’ve won a Jewels from a bad draw before.” (Sir Lincoln drew 11 when he won the Three-Year-Old Emerald at Cambridge in 2010.)”
Ironically, Green says on paper, stablemate Tommy Lincoln could now be the stable’s best shot in the race from three on the gate.
“With his gate speed he could cross Kango and New York Minute, lead and be in the money.
“But I certainly won’t be tipping mine out as winners.”
Dealer gets bad hand again
Green and his American owners Gordon Banks and Marc Hanover were also left ruing American Dealer’s continued bad luck in big races after he drew two on the second row in the Three-Year-Old Emerald.
About the only solace for Green was that hot favourite Krug will start inside him, buried on the fence, negating his front-running prowess.
“It certainly becomes a lottery with such big fields. There is definitely a case to be made that we should only have one line of seven or eight horses.”
Green says the irony is that the stable’s least likely runner, Sugar Apple, has been given the best draw and will start from the pole in the Two-Year-Old Emerald.
Sugar Apple made the race only by default, never having placed in three starts and with earnings of just $880, after a slew of withdrawals.
Lincoln Farms’ better performed two-year-old Arden’s Horizon is two on the second row.
All five of Lincoln Farms’ Jewels runners will trial at Cambridge on Saturday.
The fields for Jewels day are:
More news in Harness
Brace for Ray and Lincoln Farms at Cambridge but Colonel’s placing just as thrilling
Ray: Preferential draw for top fillies makes it tough for everyone else in Golden Gait series
Patient owners hoping high-priced Colonel can salute at Cambridge on Thursday night
Friday’s Lincoln Farms Franklin Cup all about the standing start manners of Aussie raider
Our runners this week
Tuesday at Cambridge
Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm
“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”
Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm
“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm
“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm
“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm
“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm
“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”
Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm
“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”