Mark: Tommy should be right in the thick of things again on Saturday night
By Barry Lichter • 9 September 2021
Bouyed by Tommy Lincoln’s excellent last start fourth, trainer Mark Dux can see Lincoln Farms’ charge right in the thick of the fight again on Saturday night.
And Dux can see one likely scenario that would put the reliable fighter in a perfect spot in the running of the fourth race.
Two weeks ago, from the widest alley, Tommy Lincoln was forced to ease to last, four back on the outer.
“It was near impossible for him to catch them from there,” Dux said. “If they’d gone quicker it would have been a different ball game.”
Tommy Lincoln’s closing sectionals were excellent last start.With the 2138 metres run only in a 1:55.5 mile rate, Tommy Lincoln did exceptionally well to close to 4.3 metres of the winner Our Uncle Sam, making up 10.7 metres on the leaders over the last 800 metres, three and four wide when mounting his run.
His closing 800 metres of 54.27 was one hundredth of a second slower then the winner and his final 400 metres of 26.75 was faster than Our Uncle Sam, who nosed out Will The Wizard and Mach Da Vinci in a blanket finish.
“I was really happy with his run,” Dux said. “They can all get home so quick but he’s only got to be a little closer in the running to beat them.
“On Saturday night I can see him getting a fairly good trip from five.
“If Will The Wizard holds the lead, like last week, and Crunch Time comes across - and there’s no reason they’d change their racing pattern - he could get the one-one and then he’d be right in the thick of things.”
Tommy Lincoln, who has won five of his nine starts in Queensland, rated 1:54.9 when winning over 2138 metres at his previous start. And three of his wins have been at 1660 metres, the distance on Saturday night, his best a 1:52.7 clocking in July.
Two of his wins have been with Saturday’s pilot Angus Garrard in the cart, the gun junior posting his 300th winner earlier in the week.
Dux reports Tommy Lincoln to be in good heart after a week out of the racing cauldron.
“He had an easy week last week but he trained well on Wednesday.”
Tommy Lincoln races at 9.42pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
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Our runners this week
Friday night at Cambridge
Lincoln Lover, Prince Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Lincoln Lou, Sugar Ray Lincoln.
Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them
Nathan’s comments
Tuesday twilight at Manawatu
Race 4: Leo Lincoln
5.44pm
“Fergie’s drive on Sunday was perfect, you couldn’t ask for better, and he said the horse was doing his best work in the last 50 metres. Maybe with another 100 metres he might have got there. His gate speed is only OK so I can see him getting crossed here.”
Race 5: Kevin Kline
6.19pm
“Fergie said he did it easily on the first day, and the horse only did what he had to. He’s been racing much nicer horses at Auckland so it was good to get the win, hopefully it will boost his confidence. I’ll leave the tactics up to Fergie but I imagine he’ll probably do the same thing again, loop the field and outstay them.”
Race 6: Onyx Shard
6.54pm
“I was hoping she’d drop down a grade. She’s had some tough trips recently, having to do a lot of work, and it didn’t help being three wide for the last lap on the first day. Also they only walked and sprinted home. She could be better coming with one run at them.”
