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Frisco Bay is having his first race for six months but is worth following. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.
Lincoln River top bet at Auckland on Thursday but newcomer Frisco Bay one to follow
Lincoln River looks the best money shot for Lincoln Farms at Auckland on Thursday night but trainer Ray Green is also looking forward to the return of Frisco Bay.
Green rates the Downbytheseaside colt as potentially the best two-year-old in the Lincoln Farms’ team but isn’t setting the bar too high for him in only his second race and first for six months.
Green lines up two others in the second race, Leo Lincoln with a fitness edge, and Obadiah Dragon, but it’s his $9000 weanling cheapie Frisco Bay who will be in focus on his binoculars.
“It’s his first run back, so I’m not too worried about whether he wins, but he’s coming up quite nicely and I think he’ll be competitive.”
Drawn two on the second row, Green is hoping Frisco Bay can push forward behind last start runner-up Mr Bondi.
“Luck will be the name of the game but he could get a good run through and, if he does, he’ll be a worthy opponent.”
Non event
Green recalls Frisco Bay’s debut run in a Young Guns heat in March as a “non event” when he drew seven, went back to last, and couldn’t get into the 1700 metre dash.
Frisco Bay’s sectional times compared very favourably, however, right alongside the second and third fastest in the race behind winner Escape Artist.
Ironically last Friday, in the second of his two workouts this prep, Frisco Bay again ran into Escape Artist and that horse’s sole conqueror in the Young Guns Final, Cold Chisel.
And when the sprint went on in the run home of the 2050 metre heat, he was right there, just a head and a neck behind the other pair, in closing splits of 57.4 and 26.7.
“He can get a bit hot, and wants to go a bit too hard, but he’s coming along OK. We’ll point him in the direction of the Sires Stakes heats and see if he’s up to it.”
The first of the Sires’ Stakes qualifiers comes up on Thursday week at Cambridge with a $25,000 mobile 1700 metres heat.
If luck deserts Frisco Bay, Green picks Leo Lincoln will be there to fly the flag, with a clear fitness edge after three runs back this prep.
After dead-heating for first at Cambridge on August 10, Leo ran an unlucky third to Hawkeye Pierce at Auckland, motoring home after being held up by the tiring leader turning in.
Obadiah Dragon … fresh-up and badly drawn. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Green says he won’t be holding his breath over fresh runner Obadiah Dragon, drawn six.
“The draw’s a bit awkward but I’d like to see him get round and finish off.
“He was breaking early on but we’ve sorted that out. He’s a nice enough gelding but it’s hard to know how far he’ll take us just yet.”
Lincoln River has some talented rivals to beat in the eighth race but Green says he’s really going well.
“He’s very honest and consistent and is a tough little bugger. And he’s trained on well.
“Even though it’s a good field it’s still a bit of a drop down from his previous start when he did all the donkey work.”
After fending off an early challenge for the lead, Lincoln River fought bravely when tackled, finishing only three lengths behind winner Bettor Heist and half a length behind stablemate Simply Sam.
Disappointed
Green admits he’s been disappointed in the recent form of Simply Sam who meets a strong line-up in the seventh race.
“He’s going handy races but hopefully he can improve this week.”
An overdue win looked on the cards last time when driver Andre Poutama pulled Simply Sam out of the one-one with all of 600 metres to run at Auckland.
But he went nowhere three wide and, while he hit the front 150 metres out, he only battled late.
“Andre probably went a bit too soon. No doubt he thought the horse in front of him (Hezashorething) had had enough. Whether the end result would have been any different, it’s hard to tell.”
While Green says he will leave the driving up to Poutama, he’s hoping the horse isn’t used too hard early.
“He’s gone his best races coming from off the pace, getting a suck along. He’s got speed and gets home well if he does no work early. I’d like to see him get away well, then back off, rather than push on.”
Onyx Shard … winning for Andre Poutama on Grins night at Cambridge. PHOTO: Trish Dunell.Onyx Shard may have a second row draw in the fifth race, the first Sires’ Stakes heat for two-year-old fillies, but Green believes she’s not out of it.
“She’s a very nice filly who hasn’t gone a bad race so far. It’s not the best draw in the world, so she’ll need a bit of luck, but I think she’ll be competitive with them.
“I think she could be up to those other good ones and will develop into a nice mare.”
Onyx Shard has trialled twice since her resuming run for seventh on August 3, pipped in the latest by Ultimate Racy Girl, a rival on Thursday night, with slick closing sectionals of 56.6 and 26.8.
My Copy’s form line in the third race doesn’t look flash but he’s racing better than it suggests.
“I can’t fault him. He’s going well and just needs a bit of luck.”
Though only seventh last start, My Copy dropped back to the rear from a wide gate, mounted a four-wide challenge and kept coming, finishing only a length from third.
“He’s not a cup horse but he’s very honest.”
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Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.