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Trainer Ray Green with his stable star Copy That who will start a red hot favourite for Friday night’s Spring Cup.
It should be business as usual with Copy That but the draw makes it very hard for Dealer
Copy That looks set to continue on his winning way on Friday night after claiming a front row spot but the barrier draw has virtually extinguished the winning chance of stablemate American Dealer.
Lincoln Farms’ trainer Ray Green groaned when the Auckland fields were released on Monday, Copy That drawn one on the second row in the $22,500 Spring Cup behind a slow beginner and Krug’s conqueror American Dealer clobbered with gate 14 in the $200,000 Harness Million.
But when Princess Tiffany was taken out of the pacing feature on Tuesday it meant Copy That automatically moved to the outside of the front line, the rules for standing starts allowing horses to move forward, unlike in mobile races.
Driver Maurice McKendry was much relieved when told of the crucial change, because instead of “having a prick of a draw” he can now turn Copy That into line last and make use of his so far unblemished standing start manners.
Driver Maurice McKendry … much easier task from the front row.Green cannot see how Friday night’s result will be any different from Copy That’s last four winning starts.
“He’s absolutely donkey licked everything so far and they’re all the same horses again except for Mark Purdon’s Another Masterpiece.
“Maurice was really happy with his workout at the weekend, even though they didn’t go hard, and he’s trained on well since.
“He hasn’t done much, we ran him over a mile on Tuesday, but he seemed to do it well.”
Green, on the other hand, can’t see American Dealer lowering the colours of Krug again, like he did in the $140,000 Sires’ Stakes Final last week.
“I can’t imagine anything beating Krug from the one draw - he’ll lead out and I doubt he’ll hand up - but hopefully we can pick up some of the minor money.
“It’s difficult to make a plan from four on the second row - you’re relying on pure, unadulterated luck - and that’s not ideal.
“But he’s a nice little horse and you never know he could miraculously get a good trip and be right there.”
Green predicts a tame Harness Millions with Krug dominating in front and the All Stars’ It’s All About Faith the only one to challenge.
Lincoln Farms’ No. 2 contender Captain Nemo looks to be out of his depth from the outside of the arm.
“He didn’t pace the best last week, Andre (Poutama) had to hold on to him the whole way. But I’ll tweak his gear a bit - his hopples might have been a tad long - and hopefully he’ll get round OK.”
Revitalise improver
Green is expecting an improved performance in the third race from newcomer Revitalise who opened his northern account with a late closing seventh last week from a second row draw.
Merv Butterworth’s Bettor’s Delight four-year-old might have finished seven lengths from winner Kango but his closing sectionals were far superior, the best in the race.
Revitalise clocked the fastest last mile, 2:00.2, fastest third quarter, 28.7, and fastest last 800, 57.
“Maurice liked the run, he has a better draw this week (five) and I’d like to think there’s a lot of improvement in him. He should go well and hopefully he’ll get a cheque.”
Tommy Lincoln has a much easier assignment on Friday.Green can see Tommy Lincoln getting a cheque too in the sixth race where he drops way down in company from the topliners he faced when eighth last week.
Tommy Lincoln contests a rating 59 to 78 race, compared with last week’s rating 66 to 108.
But even more crucially he drops back to 2200 metres, compared with last week’s 2700 metres.
“He’s not really a 2700 metre horse - he led them up in the derby at that trip and was gone a long way from home.”
Green says Poutama drove Tommy well last week, when the horse stepped pretty well from his first standing start. “He used him a little to secure the one-one, and the horse was right there in third spot turning for home.
“Seven is not the ideal draw on the mobile but if David (Butcher) gets a good trip I’d say he’ll be the one to beat.”
Best chance
Apieceoflou gets his best chance to break through in the ninth race where, in a seven horse field, he will start from two on the gate with the early defections of John Wayne and Satchmo.
“He was used a bit early last week, and parked for a while, and he hung on well for third.
“I’d like to see him lead and then I think he’d be a serious chance.”
Apieceoflou’s racing has been characterised by top sectional runs from the back, starting from bad draws.
“Bondi Shake has been training not bad but he’s out wide again and will need some luck.”
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Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
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Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”
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Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”
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Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.