
Could Terror To Love have won three Cups if he’d been forced to race from handicaps?
HRNZ bombshell: Top five standing start races to become handicaps to attract more betting
A directive from Harness Racing New Zealand that the country’s top five standing start features will in future be handicap races has ignited a storm in the industry.
The HRNZ board has unanimously voted that the New Zealand Trotting Cup, Auckland Trotting Cup, Dominion Trot, Rowe Cup and Invercargill Cup will no longer be free-for-alls.
In a letter to club officials, general manager of racing, marketing and communications Catherine McDonald says HRNZ believes that by applying handicaps to these top Group races the industry will get better, more competitive fields which will result in higher wagering.
“In the past these races were changed to free-for-all conditions so that the best horse would win. This may still see the best horse winning but they would not necessarily be a $1.15 favourite when they do,” McDonald says in the notice.
“As you are aware, HRNZ now gets paid on what it earns through the TAB through actual gross betting revenue being paid. It is up to HRNZ to try and grow the wagering product and to look at races to see how we can improve on them.”
The ruling has not gone down well with Addington officials, with little more than three months until November’s New Zealand Trotting Cup, and its board will be meeting on Tuesday to discuss its response.
Auckland Trotting Club president Jamie Mackinnon, whose club runs two of the affected races, said tonight he was not necessairly against the idea but he would be concerned if horses were handicapped any more than 10 metres.
HRBZ has compiled a list of races that will incur 10 metre penalties and winning two of them would see a horse put back to 20 metres.
“A 10 metre handicap is like the second line and horses can win from there, but 20 metres?
“That makes it hard even for the really good horses especially in bigger fields, they’ve got to go round the whole field.
“I have an issue with punishing horses to point they can’t win. You’ve got to be very careful what you do with your best horses or you chase them away.
“And the public want to see champions.”
Is the industry in danger of making it impossible for horses to earn legendary status, like triple cup hero Terror To Love, or dual winners like Lazarus, Monkey King or Flashing Red?
Mackinnon likened it to the All Blacks giving a 10 point start to their opposition.
Mackinnon said he had not seen TAB betting figures to support the claims that betting was flat on these elite Group races, though he presumed HRNZ had studied them.
“I always thought it was good for turnover when favourites won because punters reinvested, whereas when outsiders win they pack up and go home.
Would putting Sundees Son on 10 metres in the Rowe Cup have led to a better field and more betting? ATC president Jamie Mackinnon doubts it.“We all know small fields don’t attract good betting but I’m not convinced we would have got a bigger field for the Rowe Cup, for instance, if Sundees Son had been put back 10 metres. And he couldn’t even win it from the front this year.”
Mackinnon said his fellow ATC board member Robert Dunn, now on the HRNZ executive, could see the reason for the change even as Sundee’s Son’s trainer. “But we’re treading a fine line here. Robert said once Master Musician (who never won a NZ Trotting Cup) was on 20m he couldn’t win.
“The last thing we want to do is to punish these top horses so much that we chase them away. If we’re going to do this there has to be a blend of free-for-alls, like weight-for-age gallops races, so they can still win.”
Mackinnon said good horses were already being penalised too much and being driven offshore.
“Our handicapping system sees horses rip through the grades too quickly and they can’t drop back quickly enough.”
More news in Harness
‘The Kid’ flying but Argyle up against it to add good points in novel drivers’ challenge
Street’s emotion-charged night in the winners’ room - sad loss before a record four wins
It’s green jackets all the way and Ray fancies improving surprise packet Prince Lincoln
The Lincoln Wave secret is well and truly out now, but who was that mystery underbidder?
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Debbie Lincoln
5.26pm
“She had to sit parked most of the way last time but still went well, and that’s what she does. She’s proven to be a very promising filly and, while it’s hard these days to win without a good trip, it’s an even field and she’s a good chance again.”
Race 2: Lincoln Lou
5.55pm
“He probably cost himself a win last week by going roughly, but he can do that. If he’d got Frisco Bay’s trip he would have won with his closing quarters of 56 and 27 the fastest in the race. He’s just got to do things right to be the one to beat, even from the bad draw, as it’s an easier field.”
Race 5: Frisco Bay
7.30pm
“He’s up in grade a bit but I don’t think there’s anything between them. He’s just got to get the right run and, with his speed, he’ll be right in it.”
Race 6: Kevin Kline
7.59pm
“He’s no superstar but he’s very honest and he’s always a place chance as he’s a tough bugger, he sat parked last week.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.59pm
“With a similar run to last week, he’d be right in it. He clocked 55.8 and 27.7, doing his best work at the finish. He hasn’t gone a bad race since he’s come back.”
Race 8: Prince Lincoln
8.59pm
“I wasn’t expecting him to do anything on debut as he’s a green, young horse. But he went very well so he’s obviously lifted his game for the occasion. And he’s trained on even better so the experience has enhanced him. From the inside he has to be a good chance.”
Race 8: Rivergirl Bella
8.59pm
“She’s definitely a better animal left-handed but she was passable right-handed and should go better this time. She’s got some speed.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
8.59pm
“She’s a nice filly but is behind the others. I don’t expect her to beat anything but she needs the experience.”
Race 8: Lincoln Linda
8.59pm
“There won’t be any shadows for her to jump this time so she has to be a serious chance. She’d been dominant at the workouts and trials before her debut but didn’t get the chance to show her true worth.”
Race 8: Lincoln Lover
8.59pm
“Fergie was quite impressed with him on debut and requested the drive again. He finished on strongly up the lane and should go well again. He just needs some luck from the outside of the gate.”

Mark Dux’s comments
Saturday night at Albion Park
Race 3: Argyle
9.04pm NZ time
“I thought his last two starts have been terrific. There’s no doubt this race is tougher, and he has trickier draw, but I was talking to Angus last night and he was quite upbeat about his chances. He said the horse gave him a good feel when he sat parked two starts back and he picked him too (in the draft). But it won’t be easy. There could be a bit of pressure early. I think he’ll come out and see what unfolds and, if there is too much pressure, he’ll drive him quietly.”

Ray’s comments
Sunday at Manawatu
Race 1: Onyx Shard
5.29pm
“You can put a line through her last run at Cambridge when she pulled up showing signs of a respiratory infection. She had a couple of weeks off after that and, while she hasn’t trialled since, she’s been training down nicely. She’s a nice filly and from the good draw should really win.”
Race 3: Lincoln La Moose
6.19pm
“He wasn’t far away in the amateur race at Auckland last time despite jumping a shadow early and galloping. This is a decent drop in class for him and he should be very competitive.