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Captain Nemo finishes strongly for a close sixth on a rain-sodden Albion Park.

Forget the form line, Captain Nemo can run top three tonight with an ounce of luck

His form line of 0006 might look bleak but trainer Mark Dux points to other numbers that give a better guide to Captain Nemo’s chances at Albion Park this evening.

It’s the sectionals the horse ran at his last start that Dux says make Captain Nemo a top three chance at lucrative odds in the last race.

On a rain-sodden track, Nemo finished on strongly to be only 8.4 metres from winner Art Jester, despite being forced to make his three wide run earlier than driver Angus Garrard wanted when a rival stopped in his face.

The horse clocked closing sectionals of 28.91 and 27.46, covering an extra 32 metres in the run, each quarter only one hundredth of a second slower than the winner.

Nemo was also clocked to run the fastest middle half in 59.2.

Drawn three on the second row, Dux knows Nemo will need the right tempo up front to get into the race.

“If they go stupid early, and we can get a nice tag into it, we won’t be far off. Parama, who has drawn inside us, might get going and take us into the race.

“We have to drive him quietly, we can’t be trying to make things happen every week or we’ll stuff him.

“We need him to pull up sound, come home in one piece and then he’ll be a chance again next week.”

Dux says Western Arterra, drawn two, is the obvious favourite after his strong-finishing recent efforts. But Nemo, the third highest rated horse in the race, needs only an ounce of luck to get some of the money.

“He’s trained on well and I have nothing to complain about.”

Captain Nemo races at 7.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.Captain Nemo races at 7.25pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Thursday night at Cambridge

Race 2: Rivergirl Bella
6.18pm

“This is a big drop in class from the Nevele R Fillies heat last time when she got a flat tyre. She has a bit of gate speed but I’m not holding my breath.”

Race 6: Leo Lincoln
8pm

“He’s much better this left-handed way round and back to a stand, in a weaker field, he’ll step fast and put himself right there. He’s an each-way chance.”

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Auckland

Race 1: Sammy Lincoln
5.06pm

“He gave them no chance last week. The draw’s a bit tricky but he doesn’t need to lead, he’s just as effective from off the pace.”

Race 1: Colonel Lincoln
5.06pm

Update: Scratched

“He used up too much petrol early last week but, driven more conservatively, is a chance to get some of it.”

Race 3: Omaha Lincoln
5.58pm

“His draw’s not great but he’s on the improve and he’s slowly but surely developing into what we’re looking for. Tony Herlihy’s horse Lucky Luka is very good but I’m not afraid of the others. I think Omaha can handle them.”

Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
6.27pm

“It’s a good line-up but he’s so honest, he’s always a chance of being in the finish.”

Whales Harness