Favourite draw gives Tommy Lincoln great winning chance at Albion Park on Saturday
By Barry Lichter • 7 October 2021
Tommy Lincoln, with his best draw for a couple of months, has a great chance to return to the winner’s circle at Albion Park on Saturday night.
Tommy Lincoln has drawn two in the tight class pace, the fourth on the card, a post from where he has won three of his five races at Albion Park.
And trainer Mark Dux, who takes the reins, sees Tommy as the leader, with none of the few Brisbane pacers capable of outspeeding him at the start, like Turn It Up, in the race.
“I’m not 100% sure what the one (Replaced Eye) can do but his Sydney form suggests he’ll be happy to take a trail.
“And I don’t think the others could cross me,” says Dux with main rivals Make Mine Memphis in six and Jeradas Delight in seven.
“He should be the leader and while he might have to run time - they could pressure us at some stage - he’s racing really well.
“His run for third last week was great. He did all the work, (outside the leader) ran fast fractionals, and stuck to his task.”
With Turn It Up turning up the tempo over the last 800 metres in 54.7, Tommy Lincoln had to dig deep in the run home but never flinched, finishing only 6.7 metres from the winner on a mile rate of 1:53.8.
“Not many horses can sit parked in good company and still box on when they start to run those fractionals - he’s no slowcoach.
“This is his best winning chance for some time. The draw gives him every hope whereas before we had to have this or that happen.”
Nemo chasing hat-trick on Friday
Trainer Mark Dux gets Captain Nemo home for back-to-back wins at Albion Park last week. PHOTO: Dan Costello.Captain Nemo, who races in the opener at the Creek on Friday night, is also well in his rating 63 to 71 race as the highest rated in the field.
And, while drawn two on the second line, it’s the same starting position he mastered so well last week when winning his second race on end after getting a three wide drag into the race.
“They’ll probably use Harps a bit early so we should get a good run through and 2138 metres is probably a better distance for him than the mile last week.
“Even if he’s only midfield in the early running I can pop out if they back off.
“That’s the good part about him, you don’t have to sit and wait, you can be off and around them.
“Some horses have to sit but he can make his own luck and take bad luck out of the equation.
“A couple in the race go all right but the way he’s going he’ll be right in the thick of it.”
Captain Nemo races at 8.40pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.
Tommy Lincoln races at 10.12pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
More news in Harness
The dream’s alive but Nate tells why he’ll wait for ‘Harry’ before racing Eric again
Ray gives reformed Rascal his ‘most likely to succeed’ report from the pole on Friday night
Ray doesn’t pull any punches about Sugar Ray but punters weigh in nonetheless
Partners and pedigree made Johnny Lincoln’s win special - but where was everyone?
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Nathan’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 1: Im Not The Maid
5.14pm
“She went pretty well last week considering they came a fast last half (56.3) and she sat parked from the 800. She’s back to the amateur grade, and should get a good run from the two draw, so hopefully we can get a bit of cash.”
Race 4: Dreams Of Eric
6.38pm
“He didn’t handle the right-handed bends at Auckland last week (galloping at the 300) so we’ll stick to Cambridge from now on. There’s a bit of gate speed in the race so Harry (Harrison Orange) should be able to sit in somewhere. I think he’s a good chance to run top three.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 1: Leo Lincoln
5.59pm
“He’s racing very well. He would have run second last week (to American Me) had he not spooked at the winning post. These are tidy horses he’s racing against but he’s holding his own.”
Race 1: Kevin Kline
5.59pm
“He’ll go better back to a mobile start. He did well to finish so close last week after a slow start than having to do all the donkey work when parked for the last lap. Maurice really likes him because he just puts him into cruise control and he keeps going.”
Race 3: Lincoln Downs
6.58pm
“She’s not as good as the other filly but some lift their game when the money’s up so maybe she can pick up a cheque.”
Race 3: Lincoln’s Spice
6.58pm
“She looks a pretty decent chance of winning. She’s a real little tradesman, does nothing wrong, is easy to handle, is a nice drive, tries hard, is great gaited and has the potential to get stronger.”
Race 5: Tyson
7.51pm
“We found out he raced with a virus last time. The next morning snot was pouring out his nose and that’s why he didn’t finish it off as well as we expected. He only whacked away in the run home. With that gone, he should race better.”
Race 5: Johnny Lincoln
7.51pm
“I think he’ll be competitive and he’s the best of ours in the race. He won well last week and has trained on well. He’s promising. I couldn’t go as far as to say he’s a classic colt yet but we’ll find out soon enough.”
Race 5: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.51pm
“He’s doing my head in. He had no excuse for breaking last week. Maurice (McKendry) didn’t blame the wet track. He said he was gliding along, travelling beautifully, when for no apparent reason he put in big steps. I’ll put a hood on him this time to see if it’s a nervous issue.”
Race 8: The Rascal
9.23pm
“All going well, he should win what is a poor maiden field. He’s elevated himself from the transfer list and is going well now. He doesn’t have huge gate speed, so he may not lead but he should get a good trip from one. On paper, he’s our best chance of the night.”
