Favourite draw gives Tommy Lincoln great winning chance at Albion Park on Saturday
By Barry Lichter • 7 October 2021
Tommy Lincoln, with his best draw for a couple of months, has a great chance to return to the winner’s circle at Albion Park on Saturday night.
Tommy Lincoln has drawn two in the tight class pace, the fourth on the card, a post from where he has won three of his five races at Albion Park.
And trainer Mark Dux, who takes the reins, sees Tommy as the leader, with none of the few Brisbane pacers capable of outspeeding him at the start, like Turn It Up, in the race.
“I’m not 100% sure what the one (Replaced Eye) can do but his Sydney form suggests he’ll be happy to take a trail.
“And I don’t think the others could cross me,” says Dux with main rivals Make Mine Memphis in six and Jeradas Delight in seven.
“He should be the leader and while he might have to run time - they could pressure us at some stage - he’s racing really well.
“His run for third last week was great. He did all the work, (outside the leader) ran fast fractionals, and stuck to his task.”
With Turn It Up turning up the tempo over the last 800 metres in 54.7, Tommy Lincoln had to dig deep in the run home but never flinched, finishing only 6.7 metres from the winner on a mile rate of 1:53.8.
“Not many horses can sit parked in good company and still box on when they start to run those fractionals - he’s no slowcoach.
“This is his best winning chance for some time. The draw gives him every hope whereas before we had to have this or that happen.”
Nemo chasing hat-trick on Friday
Trainer Mark Dux gets Captain Nemo home for back-to-back wins at Albion Park last week. PHOTO: Dan Costello.Captain Nemo, who races in the opener at the Creek on Friday night, is also well in his rating 63 to 71 race as the highest rated in the field.
And, while drawn two on the second line, it’s the same starting position he mastered so well last week when winning his second race on end after getting a three wide drag into the race.
“They’ll probably use Harps a bit early so we should get a good run through and 2138 metres is probably a better distance for him than the mile last week.
“Even if he’s only midfield in the early running I can pop out if they back off.
“That’s the good part about him, you don’t have to sit and wait, you can be off and around them.
“Some horses have to sit but he can make his own luck and take bad luck out of the equation.
“A couple in the race go all right but the way he’s going he’ll be right in the thick of it.”
Captain Nemo races at 8.40pm NZ time at Albion Park on Friday night.
Tommy Lincoln races at 10.12pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.
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Ray’s comments
Tuesday at Addington
Race 9: Debbie Lincoln
4.03pm
“She’s drawn out but I think she’s got the gate speed to be put into the race. You’ve got to be handy to beat the good ones and we don’t want to be stuck behind some of the others. The one drawn two inside us, Arafura, looks the one to beat but Debbie is as good as anything in the race in my opinion. It’s not going to be easy but I’m hopeful. She’s done well down here and is in good shape.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Cambridge
Race 5: Im Not The Maid
6.17pm
“The draw helps and while she’s very honest she still needs to improve. Gary Hall said she was a bit stop-start last time but he cut corners and wasn’t too far away at the finish. He reckoned his toe rope broke at the top of the straight.”
Race 8: Lincoln Maree
7.49pm
“She showed no speed when resuming and it’s hard to see her playing a part in this.”
Race 8: Lincoln Downs
7.49pm
“She went the best of them last time, was hampered turning or home, and could improve.”
Race 8: Jessie Lincoln
7.49pm
“She’s a big filly but so far, so good. There are a few negatives, like the second row draw and it being her first time under lights, but I think she could go quite well. It’s not a wonderful lot against her and she’s training well.”
Race 8: Lincoln’s Spice
7.49pm
“She over-raced early first-up and burned herself out. She’s a delicate little thing but we’ll put some plugs in her this week. Last time in I thought she could be the best of them. Whether the others have caught her up or she’s gone backwards I don’t know.”
