Mark Purdon has trained six of the last seven New Zealand Cup winners.
Betting on the Cup starts to warm up with Self Assured closing in on $2 and Copy That solid
By Barry Lichter • 9 November 2021
After a sluggish start to betting on today’s IRT New Zealand Trotting Cup, the money is finally starting to come for Self Assured.
Since bookies posted $2.70 for the cup favourite earlier in the week when he drew the second row, the money has been only trickling in, the latest bets $900 at $2.40, $800 at $2.40 and last night the biggest of $2500 at $2.30.
But TAB Risk Analyst Matthew Peden expects Self Assured to start closer to $2 than $2.50 once the big players warm up later in the day.
“Betting has been sluggish, punters aren’t stepping in to the favourites so much because they’re short, but it’s picking up now.
“And once the Aussie money starts to come for Mark and Natalie, I’m sure Self Assured will get shorter. But I’m not sure the market will react so much to South Coast Arden.”
South Coast Arden had drifted this morning to $4.80.
Mark Purdon will be out to extend an unprecedented winning run in the cup, having taken the last five cups on end and six of the last seven, with Adore Me (2014), Lazarus (2016 and 2017), Thefixer (2018), Cruz Bromac (2019) and Self Assured (2020).
Best punted on the card
One horse in the famous blue with silver stars livery that has been heavily punted is American Pride who goes round in the opening trot for Purdon.
A succession of bets has seen his price cut from $3.30, the latest this morning $1000 at $2.30, making him the best backed horse on the entire card.
Support for Copy That in the cup has been steady, with bets of $800 at $4.50, two $500 bets at $4.50 and $1000 at $3.80.
In the futures market, Copy That took $500 at $6.50 and two bets of $200 at $6.
Outside of the top four favourites, Bad To the Bone is the best backed but Peden reports plenty of $200 and $300 bets on Classie Brigade to run top 3.
Laver and Vintage Cheddar account for 90% of the top 4 hold but with 73% of the field at $41 and longer, he says total betting has been somewhat stifled.
A special punters’ club set up by the Addington club had reached $75,000 by 9.30am this morning with expectations it will top $100,000 when the pool closes at 1pm.
More news in Harness
Debbie Lincoln pleases in searching workout after missing start at Auckland on Friday
Dreams of Eric to keep the Harness 5000 dream alive for Nate on Thursday night
Kevin Kline the kind of horse everybody would love to own - he just keeps running
Debt-ridden ATC on back foot again after buyer pulls out of $70m sale of Franklin Park
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Nathan’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 4: Dreams Of Eric
6.39pm
“Harry did exactly what I wanted last week - to keep him covered up and to hit the line well - and he was happy with the run. This time I’ll tell him to cut loose and hopefully he’ll be in front. He’s training really well so is a definite each-way chance and potential winner.”
Race 7: Im Not The Maid
7.56pm
“She looks well and healthy but we’re not expecting anything wonderful from her in her first start since July.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 3: Lincoln Maree
6.42pm
“She’s stronger this time in so I don’t think she’ll break again, like in her first two starts. She’ll go as good as she can.”
Race 3: Lincoln’s Spice
6.42pm
“Last time in I’d have said she was the best of our fillies but I’m not so sure now. All three are on a par. She tries hard and does everything right.”
Race 3: Lincoln Downs
6.42pm
“She was nowhere near ready when I lined her up earlier in the year. It was only to get the races off the ground. She’s honest but I don’t have high expectations.”
Race 5: Tyson
7.39pm
“He needs to be in the open but from that draw I’m not holding my breath he’ll get a good trip.”
