Argyle up to testing them even from a wide alley at Albion Park on Saturday night
Trainer Mark Dux knows Argyle will have to do some work from his wide draw but says the horse is up to the task at Albion Park on Saturday night.
The second highest rated horse in the opening race, Argyle has an attractive form line, having won and finished second in his last three starts.
And, despite drawing one from the outside, Dux believes the horse can be right there at the finish, regardless of the trip he gets.
“I’m real happy with him. He’s done well since his last race and I’m sure he’ll race well.
“If we’d drawn inside them I’d have said he was a winner but you wouldn’t want your last (dollar) on him from that draw. “
Dux doubts driver Angus Garrard can cross Daniel Boom, the horse who gave him one-one cover last time, and says Bonnie’s Cam, in five, has a lot of gate speed too.
“The inside horses have an advantage at the 2138 metre start too. You can hold a lot easier than at the mile because you’re in a straight line for longer and nearly at top speed.
“But with a bit of luck he won’t be too far off them. I could see him sitting parked and still racing really well.
“We won’t go out with a set plan. If he has to do a bit of work I think he’s up to testing them.”
Formline hides terrific runs
Dux also quietly fancies the chances of Lincoln Farms’ other runner Captain Nemo getting some money, despite his drawing two on the second row in the sixth race.
With a formline of 653P8, that might be hard to understand but Dux says the horse is going much better than that might suggest.
“His recent runs have been terrific and even though he ran only eighth last time I was real happy with the run.
“He came home in 55.05, with his last two quarters in 27.57 and 27.47 - and he was off the track doing that.
The official stats showed Captain Nemo also covered an extra 36 metres in the race, more than anything else in the race.
“And he kept hitting the line, even though a few of the others got away from him when nothing carried him into the race.”
Dux tips Lord Zarias as the one to beat from the pole.
Formerly trained by Zachary Butcher at Lincoln Farms, when named plain Zarias, the rating 98 horse will enjoy a huge drop in grade, and Dux suspects claiming driver Paige Bevan may try to lead.
“Awaywego will go forward again - I can’t see him going back - and I think the one will try and hold which will put a bit of pressure into the race and help us.
“The harder they go, the better for us.”
Dux says it’s been harder for Captain Nemo to secure the right spots in the running since they made the decision to stop driving him hard all the time.
“It’s getting harder to drive him tough. But while we’ve been more conservative with him, he’s been racing really well.
“From the alley he won’t be too far off, I suspect midfield at the worst. And if they go the first half solid it will suit us. I think both of ours could be right here.”
More news in Harness
Brace for Ray and Lincoln Farms at Cambridge but Colonel’s placing just as thrilling
Ray: Preferential draw for top fillies makes it tough for everyone else in Golden Gait series
Patient owners hoping high-priced Colonel can salute at Cambridge on Thursday night
Friday’s Lincoln Farms Franklin Cup all about the standing start manners of Aussie raider
Our runners this week
Tuesday at Cambridge
Colonel Lincoln, Onyx Shard, Commander Lincoln, Debbie Lincoln, Kevin Kline, Lincoln La Moose, The Big Lebowski.
Our runners this week: How our trainers rate them
Ray’s comments
Thursday night at Cambridge
Race 2: Commander Lincoln
5.51pm
“Back to Cambridge and the easier amateur ranks he can get some of it. He’s an honest little horse who pays his way.”
Race 4: Onyx Shard
6.49pm
“She’s a nice filly who is training really well and it wouldn’t surprise me to see her in the money in spite of the outside draw. She’d be one of the best in that field and is definitely an each-way chance.”
Race 6: Colonel Lincoln
7.39pm
“He hasn’t raced for nearly 21 months but his training has been good and he should go well first-up. He’s a beautiful, big horse who probably lacks a yard of speed to be a real super horse but he’s got everything else. I expect him to go well against this lot.”
Race 7: Lincoln La Moose
8.04pm
“He’s training well and has surprised us before, like when he won his first start at Cambridge like a monster after breaking on the first turn. It’s always the way when they win their first start - it makes things hard for them after that - but he’s travelling well now and is capable of being in it.”
Ray’s comments
Friday night at Auckland
Race 4: Lincoln Lou
7.09pm
“He’ll be relying on a heap of good luck from the second row. His last run was a non-event. The poor little bugger couldn’t have done a better job of finding trouble. He’s trained on all right.”
Race 4: Sugar Ray Lincoln
7.09pm
“He’s training really well and he showed last time what a big motor he had, losing all that ground early and still getting up to win. He’s not famous for his gate speed but as long as he gets away safely then Maurice can put him in the race at the right time. There are a lot of horses in there that aren’t that safe who could stand on their ear. Navigating through them is always a worry. He’ll need some luck but he could give them a fright.”
Race 6: Frisco Bay
8.05pm
“He obviously can’t beat Duchess Megxit or Jeremiah but if he gets a good trip he’s a chance of getting some money. Things didn’t suit him last time - being out three wide then going to the front. He’s so hot, he over-races. He goes best if he’s allowed to slop out and find the back of something, when he generally relaxes. Even if he got back a bit, that would be all right, so long as he gets sucked along.”