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Welcome to band 5 racing: Mark tells how tough it will be for Argyle from bad draw

“Very hard race, tough draw. Welcome to band 5 racing.”

Trainer Mark Dux didn’t mince his words when describing the task ahead of Argyle, stepping up a grade in the opening race at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Just seven days after his well deserved win, after enjoying a perfect trail, Argyle lands in a much harder race from one of the worst draws.

“It’s the strongest race he’ll get in for a while, he won’t get any harder,” Dux said.

“Nothing stands out and says it will just win. There are a bunch of chances across the board and even a couple who are dropping back from band 4 racing (Pacifico Dream and Red Right Hand, who haven’t won in their last 10 starts).

“Obviously it’s going to be really tough for him from three on the second row. It’s one of the worst alleys but it’s better than seven, at least he might get in front of a couple.”

Dux said driver Mathew Neilson would have no option than to pop in behind them, play it be ear and hope for some luck.

“There are a lot of unknowns with good gate speed across the front line. The harder they go the better for us.”

Chances are the tempo will be swift with Argyle’s winning driver from last week, Angus Garrard, staying with Bangkok Deejay, a 1:51.5 mile rate winner two starts back, three seconds faster than Argyle. But Dux doesn’t think a 1:52 mile rate for the 1660 metres is beyond Argyle.

“With the right run he could be thereabouts at that speed but he could also come home in better than 55 and run only seventh or eighth.

“I’m sure he’ll race well though, he’s done well this week.”

Meanwhile, Dux reported stablemate Captain Nemo has started fast work again and could be back racing in three weeks.

“He’ll go a bit quicker next week and he won’t take much to come to hand, he had only a week off.”

Argyle races at 8.39pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.Argyle races at 8.39pm NZ time at Albion Park on Saturday night.

Our runners this week: How our trainer rates them

Ray Green

Ray’s comments

Friday night at Cambridge

Race 1: Rivergirl Bella
4.52pm

“She did a good job last week at Auckland. Throwing her in the deep end seems to have toughened her up a bit. She’s getting stronger all the time. This is a big drop in class and she’s a chance from a better gate (three).”

Race 2: Prince Lincoln
5.20pm

“If the real Prince turned up he’d absolutely be hard to beat. If he leads, as he should do from two, he’s a different horse.”

Race 3: Major Copy
5.54pm

“Maurice just nursed him around on debut. He was stepping over tyre marks on the track so he didn’t want to launch him into the open too soon. We’ll put a shadow roll on him this time to stop that and I can see him going a lot better from the inside draw.”

Race 3: Jessie Lincoln
5.54pm

“I’m not saying she can’t win but it will be hard for Fergie to find a good trip from the draw. She’ll need a lot of luck but she can be right in it if things go her way as she’s training well.”

Race 5: Lincoln Dealer
6.49pm

“He’s been a slow developing horse and you can’t drive him pretty, he won’t let you, as he’s a bit of a hot head. Maurice will launch him and see where he ends up.”

Race 5: Spirit Of God
6.49pm

“She got tired late last time and started hanging a bit (hitting a marker) but I thought she went OK. She did a bit early (from a wide draw) and was still there at the finish so she’s going to win a race. You never know with second line draws but it’s usually a decent impairment.”

Race 7: Lincoln Maree
7.40pm

“She never runs a bad race. She has a big motor for a little filly and should be right in the fray.”

Race 7: Angelic Copy
7.40pm

“Maurice said she foundered a bit when they took off, and got three or four lengths behind, but she didn’t lose any more ground after that and held her place. So the run wasn’t as bad as it looked and she’ll be improved.”

Race 8: Lincoln Wave
8.14pm

“It was a non-event last time (from a stand) and he’s a good horse who will be vying for the lead from five and deserves to be favourite.”

Race 8: Sugar Ray Lincoln
8.14pm

“Peter (Ferguson) said he didn’t feel as sharp last week as in the past so I’ve given him a little freshen-up with a light week and he should go better.”

Whales Harness